Sport Picks
Ponferradina vs Mirandes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada 
Match Events
6'
6'
Molina A.
20'
20'
Navarro C.
20'
20'
Valle B.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Ponferradina and Mirandes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ponferradina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mirandes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ponferradina come out ahead of Mirandes on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 20%
Mirandes Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponferradina | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Mirandes
1:0
Mar 26, 2023 LaLiga2
Ponferradina vs Mirandes
0:0
Dec 17, 2022 LaLiga2
Mirandes vs Ponferradina
2:1
Mar 27, 2022 LaLiga2
Mirandes vs Ponferradina
3:1
Dec 5, 2021 LaLiga2
Ponferradina vs Mirandes
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponferradina 32 / 100
Mirandes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponferradina Mirandes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mirandes let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Ponferradina's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Ponferradina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ponferradina VS Mirandes
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponferradina
(Home) 04 Oct
Ponferradina
1 : 0 Mirandes
27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1 Ponferradina
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0 AD Merida
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1 Ponferradina
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Ponferradina
1 : 0 Mirandes
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0 AD Merida
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2 Real Madrid B
05 Aug
Ponferradina
1 : 2 Unionistas de Salamanca
Page 1 of 4
Mirandes
(Away) 04 Oct
Ponferradina
1 : 0 Mirandes
27 Sept
Mirandes
1 : 0 Unionistas de Salamanca
19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2 Mirandes
12 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 4 Mirandes
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0 UD Ourense
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Ponferradina
1 : 0 Mirandes
19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2 Mirandes
12 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 4 Mirandes
28 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0 Mirandes
21 Aug
UD Logrones
4 : 0 Mirandes
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 2 | Lugo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 16 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 4 | Cacereno | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 11 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Union | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo Fabril | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Leonesa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 13 | CD Extremadura | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | AD Merida | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 17 | Real Aviles | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 5 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:10 | 2 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:14 | 2 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
