Sport Picks

Spain

Copa del Rey Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada

Ponferradina

Thu, Dec 4, 2025

1 - 2

07:00 PM

Racing Santander

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Gueye M.

46'

Sub

Gueye M. In: Sainz-Maza I.

Out: Gueye M.

46'

Sub

Camara S. In: Castro J.

Out: Camara S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Racing Santander advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ponferradina

39%

Draws

30%

Racing Santander

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Racing Santander carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Racing Santander arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Racing Santander, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Ponferradina Clean Sheet 16%

Racing Santander Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ponferradina	Racing Santander
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	14	15
Draws	7	5
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	0.88	2
Goals Conceded	1	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 Copa del Rey

Ponferradina vs Racing Santander

1:2

Feb 5, 2023 LaLiga2

Ponferradina vs Racing Santander

1:1

Oct 23, 2022 LaLiga2

Racing Santander vs Ponferradina

1:1

Jun 24, 2020 LaLiga2

Ponferradina vs Racing Santander

1:1

Nov 10, 2019 LaLiga2

Racing Santander vs Ponferradina

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponferradina Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Racing Santander Compare

Top Goalscorer Arana J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Aldasoro A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponferradina 31 / 100

Racing Santander 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ponferradina Racing Santander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Santander's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Ponferradina's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Ponferradina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ponferradina VS Racing Santander

0.88 Goals Scored 2

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

38% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponferradina

(Home)

29 Jul

Real Oviedo

4 : 0

Ponferradina

20 Jun

Celta Vigo B

4 : 1

Ponferradina

13 Jun

Ponferradina

0 : 0

Celta Vigo B

06 Jun

Atl. Madrid B

0 : 1

Ponferradina

30 May

Ponferradina

0 : 0

Atl. Madrid B

Page 1 of 6

Racing Santander

(Away)

29 Jul

Racing Santander

0 : 3

Ath Bilbao

24 Jul

Osasuna

2 : 0

Racing Santander

18 Jul

Real Sociedad

1 : 1

Racing Santander

31 May

Racing Santander

4 : 1

Cadiz

24 May

Malaga

1 : 1

Racing Santander

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Mutilvera-

TBD-

Zaragoza-

Atletico Tordesillas-

TBD-

Burgos CF-

Navalcarnero-

TBD-

AD Merida-

Inter de Valdemoro4

Univ. Julio Suarez2

TBD-

Getafe-

Atletico Astorga-

TBD-

Mirandes-

Caudal Deportivo-

TBD-

Gijon-

Puente Genil-

TBD-

FC Cartagena SAD-

Sporting Ceuta1

Maracena3

TBD-

Valencia-

CD Tropezon-

TBD-

Leonesa-

Valle Egues-

TBD-

FC Andorra-

Ciudad Cieza-

TBD-

Cordoba-

Orihuela-

TBD-

Levante-

Ourense CF-

TBD-

Real Oviedo-

Constancia-

TBD-

Girona-

TBD-

Ath Bilbao-

Portugalete-

TBD-

Valladolid-

Deportivo Getxo2

Betis Valladolid1

TBD-

Alaves-

CD Extremadura-

TBD-

Las Palmas-

Toledo-

TBD-

Sevilla-

RSD Alcala-

TBD-

Tenerife-

Roda-

TBD-

Granada CF-

Real Avila-

TBD-

Real Aviles-

Campanario0

CD Yuncos2

TBD-

Rayo Vallecano-

Jaen-

TBD-

Eldense-

Lorca Deportiva-

TBD-

Almeria-

Reus FC Reddis-

TBD-

CE Europa-

Textil Escudo2

SD Negreira5

TBD-

Real Sociedad-

Langreo-

TBD-

Racing Club Ferrol-

Utebo FC-

TBD-

Huesca-

Ebro-

TBD-

Tarazona-

CD Sant Jordi4

CD Lourdes1

TBD-

Osasuna-

CD Azuaga-

TBD-

Leganes-

UD San Fernando-

TBD-

Albacete-

Sant Andreu-

TBD-

Teruel-

Puerto de Vega5

CCD Alberite1

TBD-

Celta Vigo-

Rayo Majadahonda-

TBD-

CF Talavera-

CD Estepona-

TBD-

Malaga-

TBD-

Real Madrid-

UD Logrones-

TBD-

Ponferradina-

SD Logrones-

TBD-

Racing Santander-

Antoniano-

TBD-

Castellon-

Ciudad de Lucena-

TBD-

Villarreal-

Guadalajara-

TBD-

Cacereno-

La Union (Malacitano)-

TBD-

AD Ceuta-

TBD-

Barcelona-

Murcia-

TBD-

Antequera-

UCAM Murcia-

TBD-

Cadiz-

Torrent-

TBD-

Torremolinos-

Atletico Melilla0

Atletico Palma del Rio10

TBD-

Betis-

UD Ourense-

TBD-

Pontevedra-

Naxara-

TBD-

Eibar-

Quintanar del Rey-

TBD-

UD Ibiza-

Manises2

UD Los Garres4

TBD-

Elche-

UD Poblense-

TBD-

Sabadell-

UD Samano-

TBD-

Dep. A Coruna-

Numancia-

TBD-

Arenas Getxo-

Atletic Sant Just FC7

Atletico Calatayud1

TBD-

Mallorca-

Baleares-

TBD-

Gimnastic de Tarragona-

CE Atletic Lleida-

TBD-

Espanyol-

TBD-

Atl. Madrid-

1/64-finals

Mutilvera1

Zaragoza3

Atletico Tordesillas1

Burgos CF2

Navalcarnero2

AD Merida1

Inter de Valdemoro0

Getafe11

Atletico Astorga1

Mirandes2

Caudal Deportivo0

Gijon1

Puente Genil0

FC Cartagena SAD1

Maracena0

Valencia5

CD Tropezon1

Leonesa3

Valle Egues1

FC Andorra5

Ciudad Cieza1

Cordoba0

Orihuela3

Levante4

Ourense CF4

Real Oviedo2

Constancia2

Girona3

TBD-

Ath Bilbao-

Portugalete1

Valladolid0

Deportivo Getxo0

Alaves7

CD Extremadura3

Las Palmas1

Toledo1

Sevilla4

RSD Alcala0

Tenerife4

Roda1

Granada CF5

Real Avila1

Real Aviles0

CD Yuncos1

Rayo Vallecano6

Jaen1

Eldense3

Lorca Deportiva0

Almeria2

Reus FC Reddis3

CE Europa2

SD Negreira0

Real Sociedad3

Langreo0

Racing Club Ferrol1

Utebo FC0

Huesca3

Ebro2

Tarazona1

CD Sant Jordi0

Osasuna5

CD Azuaga1

Leganes4

UD San Fernando0

Albacete3

Sant Andreu2

Teruel1

Puerto de Vega0

Celta Vigo2

Rayo Majadahonda1

CF Talavera4

CD Estepona1

Malaga3

TBD-

Real Madrid-

UD Logrones1

Ponferradina3

SD Logrones0

Racing Santander4

Antoniano1

Castellon0

Ciudad de Lucena0

Villarreal6

Guadalajara2

Cacereno1

La Union (Malacitano)0

AD Ceuta2

TBD-

Barcelona-

Murcia2

Antequera1

UCAM Murcia1

Cadiz3

Torrent3

Torremolinos1

Atletico Palma del Rio1

Betis7

UD Ourense1

Pontevedra2

Naxara2

Eibar4

Quintanar del Rey2

UD Ibiza1

UD Los Garres0

Elche4

UD Poblense1

Sabadell2

UD Samano1

Dep. A Coruna5

Numancia3

Arenas Getxo0

Atletic Sant Just FC0

Mallorca2

Baleares2

Gimnastic de Tarragona0

CE Atletic Lleida1

Espanyol2

TBD-

Atl. Madrid-

1/32-finals

Zaragoza0

Burgos CF1

Navalcarnero2

Getafe3

Mirandes0

Gijon2

FC Cartagena SAD1

Valencia2

Leonesa4

FC Andorra2

Ciudad Cieza0

Levante1

Ourense CF2

Girona1

TBD-

Ath Bilbao-

Portugalete0

Alaves3

CD Extremadura1

Sevilla2

Tenerife0

Granada CF1

Real Avila1

Rayo Vallecano2

Eldense2

Almeria1

Reus FC Reddis0

Real Sociedad2

Racing Club Ferrol0

Huesca2

Ebro3

Osasuna5

Leganes1

Albacete2

Sant Andreu1

Celta Vigo2

CF Talavera2

Malaga1

TBD-

Real Madrid-

Ponferradina1

Racing Santander2

Antoniano1

Villarreal2

Guadalajara1

AD Ceuta0

TBD-

Barcelona-

Murcia3

Cadiz2

Torrent1

Betis4

Pontevedra0

Eibar3

Quintanar del Rey1

Elche2

Sabadell0

Dep. A Coruna2

Numancia2

Mallorca3

Baleares1

Espanyol0

TBD-

Atl. Madrid-

1/16-finals

Burgos CF3

Getafe1

Gijon0

Valencia2

Leonesa1

Levante0

Ourense CF0

Ath Bilbao1

Alaves1

Sevilla0

Granada CF1

Rayo Vallecano3

Eldense1

Real Sociedad2

Huesca2

Osasuna4

Albacete3

Celta Vigo2

CF Talavera2

Real Madrid3

Racing Santander2

Villarreal1

Guadalajara0

Barcelona2

Murcia0

Betis2

Eibar0

Elche1

Dep. A Coruna1

Mallorca0

Baleares2

Atl. Madrid3

1/8-finals

Burgos CF0

Valencia2

Leonesa3

Ath Bilbao4

Alaves2

Rayo Vallecano0

Real Sociedad3

Osasuna2

Albacete3

Real Madrid2

Racing Santander0

Barcelona2

Betis2

Elche1

Dep. A Coruna0

Atl. Madrid1

Quarter-finals

Albacete1

Barcelona2

Betis0

Atl. Madrid5

Valencia1

Ath Bilbao2

Alaves2

Real Sociedad3

Semi-finals

Barcelona3

Atl. Madrid4

Ath Bilbao0

Real Sociedad2

Final

Atl. Madrid2

Real Sociedad3

Ponferradina vs Racing Santander

Spain

Ponferradina

Racing Santander

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Ponferradina Compare

Racing Santander Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ponferradina

Racing Santander

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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