Sport Picks
Ponferradina vs Tenerife - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sub
Aguero F. In: Yaakobishvili A.
Out: Aguero F.
23'
23'
Valles G.
25'
25'
Undabarrena E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ponferradina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Tenerife average 1.59 goals a game right now, well clear of Ponferradina's 1.07.
- Win probability leans Ponferradina's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 68%
Tenerife Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponferradina | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Tenerife
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Tenerife vs Ponferradina
2:0
Jan 14, 2023 LaLiga2
Tenerife vs Ponferradina
0:0
Sep 24, 2022 LaLiga2
Ponferradina vs Tenerife
2:2
Jan 30, 2022 LaLiga2
Ponferradina vs Tenerife
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponferradina Compare
Top Goalscorer Undabarrena E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Tenerife Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponferradina 77 / 100
Tenerife 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponferradina Tenerife
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ponferradina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ponferradina scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Ponferradina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tenerife's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ponferradina VS Tenerife
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponferradina
(Home) 04 Oct
Ponferradina
1 : 0 Mirandes
27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1 Ponferradina
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0 AD Merida
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1 Ponferradina
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Ponferradina
1 : 0 Mirandes
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0 AD Merida
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2 Real Madrid B
05 Aug
Ponferradina
1 : 2 Unionistas de Salamanca
Page 1 of 4
Tenerife
(Away) 05 Oct
Cordoba
3 : 2 Tenerife
26 Sept
Tenerife
1 : 1 Cadiz
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0 Tenerife
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0 Leganes
05 Sept
Real Sociedad B
1 : 1 Tenerife
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Cordoba
3 : 2 Tenerife
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0 Tenerife
05 Sept
Real Sociedad B
1 : 1 Tenerife
16 Aug
Eibar
1 : 3 Tenerife
08 Aug
Leganes
0 : 1 Tenerife
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
