Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ponferradina vs Valladolid Promesas

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
74' Event
90'
Valle B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Ponferradina and Valladolid Promesas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valladolid Promesas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ponferradina
22%
Draws
60%
Valladolid Promesas
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Valladolid Promesas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Valladolid Promesas haven't matched Ponferradina's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Valladolid Promesas a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 12%
Valladolid Promesas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponferradina Valladolid Promesas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.38 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Ponferradina vs Valladolid Promesas
0:2
Apr 20, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Ponferradina
1:3
Dec 2, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Valladolid Promesas
5:0
Feb 10, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Ponferradina
0:0
Sep 24, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Valladolid Promesas
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponferradina 19 / 100
Valladolid Promesas 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponferradina Valladolid Promesas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valladolid Promesas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ponferradina scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Ponferradina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ponferradina VS Valladolid Promesas
1.38 Goals Scored 2.29
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%