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Ponikve vs Gaj Mace

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Ponikve Logo

Ponikve

1 - 2
FT
Gaj Mace Logo

Gaj Mace

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gaj Mace in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gaj Mace.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ponikve
15%
Draws
34%
Gaj Mace
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ponikve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gaj Mace average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of Ponikve's 1.03.
  • Model gives Ponikve a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gaj Mace have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ponikve Clean Sheet 68%
Gaj Mace Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponikve Gaj Mace
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.03 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Gaj Mace
1:2
Oct 10, 2021 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Ponikve
1:0
May 15, 2021 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Gaj Mace
3:2
Oct 25, 2020 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Ponikve
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponikve 86 / 100
Gaj Mace 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponikve Gaj Mace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ponikve Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaj Mace let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Ponikve's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ponikve went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ponikve VS Gaj Mace
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponikve

(Home)
27 Sept
Ponikve
1 : 4
Din. Zagreb
30 Aug
Bilogora
0 : 2
Ponikve
22 Mar
Ponikve
0 : 1
Rudes
28 May
Ravnice
1 : 2
Ponikve
21 May
Ponikve
2 : 0
Segesta
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Gaj Mace

(Away)
09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7
Varazdin
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2
Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1
Karlovac
31 Aug
Bjelovar
1 : 0
Gaj Mace
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)