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Ponikve vs Segesta

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Ponikve Logo

Ponikve

2 - 0
FT
Segesta Logo

Segesta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ponikve in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ponikve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ponikve
15%
Draws
45%
Segesta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Segesta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Segesta lately — more wins on the board than Ponikve.
  • Win probability leans Segesta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ponikve Clean Sheet 16%
Segesta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponikve Segesta
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 7 26
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.03 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Segesta
2:0
Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Ponikve
1:0
May 26, 2021 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Segesta
0:1
Nov 7, 2020 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Ponikve
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponikve 10 / 100
Segesta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponikve Segesta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponikve scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Segesta let in goals in 60% of their last 40 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ponikve stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Segesta
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponikve

(Home)
27 Sept
Ponikve
1 : 4
Din. Zagreb
30 Aug
Bilogora
0 : 2
Ponikve
22 Mar
Ponikve
0 : 1
Rudes
28 May
Ravnice
1 : 2
Ponikve
21 May
Ponikve
2 : 0
Segesta
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Segesta

(Away)
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
28 Aug
Vukovar 1991
2 : 0
Segesta
25 Aug
Slatina
0 : 18
Segesta
22 Aug
Segesta
3 : 1
Orijent
14 Aug
Segesta
2 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)