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Ponta Pora vs Comercial MS

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020
Ponta Pora Logo

Ponta Pora

1 - 3
FT
Comercial MS Logo

Comercial MS

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 game between Ponta Pora and Comercial MS finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comercial MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ponta Pora
15%
Draws
65%
Comercial MS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Comercial MS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Comercial MS taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ponta Pora Clean Sheet 19%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponta Pora Comercial MS
Matches Played 9 32
Wins 1 10
Draws 1 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 0.67 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Ponta Pora vs Comercial MS
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponta Pora 10 / 100
Comercial MS 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponta Pora Comercial MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial MS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial MS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ponta Pora found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (9 games).

Solid form: Ponta Pora remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Comercial MS
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponta Pora

(Home)
14 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
08 Mar
Ponta Pora
1 : 3
Comercial MS
04 Mar
Aquidauanense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
01 Mar
Ponta Pora
0 : 2
Chapadao
16 Feb
Ponta Pora
2 : 0
Maracaju
Page 1 of 2

Comercial MS

(Away)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia Negra 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
2 Aquidauanense 9 5 3 1 18:9 18
3 Chapadao 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
4 Operario MS 9 5 2 2 14:9 17
5 Comercial MS 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Costa Rica 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Corumbaense 9 3 2 4 7:8 11
8 Maracaju 9 2 4 3 12:14 10
9 Ponta Pora 9 1 1 7 6:17 4
10 Nova Andradina 9 0 2 7 5:22 2
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 (Play Offs)