Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Morris M.
38'
38'
Meechan T.
47'
47'
Morris M.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2023/2024 game between Pontardawe and Cwmbran Celtic finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontardawe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Cwmbran Celtic haven't matched Pontardawe's recent run of results.
- Model gives Pontardawe a 43% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru South 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Pontardawe Clean Sheet 14%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pontardawe | Cwmbran Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.37 | 2.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2024 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Cwmbran Celtic
3:3
Sep 16, 2023 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Pontardawe
4:4
Nov 26, 2022 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Pontardawe
6:0
Aug 29, 2022 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Cwmbran Celtic
3:4
Oct 19, 2019 FAW Welsh Cup
Cwmbran Celtic vs Pontardawe
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pontardawe Compare
Top Goalscorer Morris M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Dorward J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Cwmbran Celtic Compare
Top Goalscorer Meechan T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hinwood J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pontardawe 66 / 100
Cwmbran Celtic 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pontardawe Cwmbran Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pontardawe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cwmbran Celtic has conceded goals in 94% of their last 34 outings.
H2H data points to 6.40 goals as a typical output.
Pontardawe scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Cwmbran Celtic's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Pontardawe VS Cwmbran Celtic
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Pontardawe
(Home) 26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1 Treowen
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0 Pontardawe
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0 Pontardawe
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0 Pontardawe
15 Aug
Pontardawe
0 : 4 Newport City
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1 Treowen
15 Aug
Pontardawe
0 : 4 Newport City
01 Aug
Pontardawe
3 : 0 Caerphilly
17 Apr
Pontardawe
0 : 3 Cambrian United
06 Apr
Pontardawe
1 : 1 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 3
Cwmbran Celtic
(Away) 18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 7
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
24 Mar
Baglan Dragons
0 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
21 Mar
Caerau Ely
0 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
14 Feb
Llantwit Major
3 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Jan
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Briton Ferry | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 87:39 | 71 |
| 2 | Llanelli | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 80:40 | 64 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 60:42 | 57 |
| 4 | Cambrian United | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 60:37 | 50 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 72:60 | 49 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 47 |
| 7 | Afan Lido | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 68:56 | 46 |
| 8 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 58:59 | 43 |
| 9 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 69:64 | 42 |
| 10 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 46:41 | 41 |
| 11 | Trefelin | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 47:63 | 38 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 13 | Taffs Well | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 44:49 | 32 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 52:70 | 32 |
| 15 | Abertillery Bluebirds | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 34:94 | 15 |
| 16 | Abergavenny Town | 30 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 20:84 | 8 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2024/2025 (Main)
