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Ponte da Barca vs Pedras Salgadas

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 game between Ponte da Barca and Pedras Salgadas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pedras Salgadas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ponte da Barca
15%
Draws
73%
Pedras Salgadas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pedras Salgadas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ponte da Barca haven't matched Pedras Salgadas's recent run of results.
  • Pedras Salgadas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pedras Salgadas here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ponte da Barca Clean Sheet 19%
Pedras Salgadas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte da Barca Pedras Salgadas
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 3 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ponte da Barca vs Pedras Salgadas
0:2
Feb 19, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pedras Salgadas vs Ponte da Barca
5:2
Jan 22, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ponte da Barca vs Pedras Salgadas
0:2
Oct 30, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pedras Salgadas vs Ponte da Barca
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte da Barca 28 / 100
Pedras Salgadas 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte da Barca Pedras Salgadas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pedras Salgadas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Pedras Salgadas let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Pedras Salgadas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ponte da Barca scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Ponte da Barca VS Pedras Salgadas
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte da Barca

(Home)
08 Sept
Merelinense
1 : 0
Ponte da Barca
14 May
Ponte da Barca
0 : 4
Alianca de Gandra
07 May
AD Limianos
2 : 0
Ponte da Barca
30 Apr
Ponte da Barca
1 : 1
SC Mirandela
23 Apr
Trofense
3 : 1
Ponte da Barca
Page 1 of 6

Pedras Salgadas

(Away)
08 Sept
Vieira
2 : 0
Pedras Salgadas
16 Apr
Pedras Salgadas
1 : 0
SC Vianense
08 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 0
Pedras Salgadas
02 Apr
Pedras Salgadas
3 : 1
Vilar de Perdizes
19 Mar
Merelinense
2 : 1
Pedras Salgadas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Merelinense 18 14 3 1 39:10 45
2 Vilaverdense FC 18 12 2 4 38:15 38
3 AD Oliveirense 18 12 2 4 38:24 38
4 GD Braganca 18 11 1 6 38:29 34
5 CDC Montalegre 18 5 6 7 23:30 21
6 GD Uniao Torcatense 18 6 3 9 18:28 21
7 SC Mirandela 18 4 6 8 17:24 18
8 Pedras Salgadas 18 5 2 11 19:32 17
9 AD Limianos 18 2 5 11 16:34 11
10 Ponte da Barca 18 2 4 12 14:34 10
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 (Relegation Group)