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Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ponte da Barca host Rebordosa in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. Rebordosa are expected to control this from the start. Rebordosa have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Ponte da Barca have conceded 1.76 and scored 0.66. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.09) point toward Rebordosa. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ponte da Barca
15%
Draws
34%
Rebordosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ponte da Barca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rebordosa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ponte da Barca Clean Sheet 20%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte da Barca Rebordosa
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 4 15
Draws 3 9
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.66 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.76 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte da Barca 32 / 100
Rebordosa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte da Barca Rebordosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rebordosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Difficult form: Rebordosa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ponte da Barca scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Ponte da Barca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ponte da Barca VS Rebordosa
0.71 Goals Scored 0.75
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte da Barca

(Home)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Ponte da Barca
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
23 Aug
Maia Lidador
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
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Rebordosa

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Tirsense 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chaves B 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
4 Braga B 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 AD Limianos 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
6 Vila Mea 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
7 Celoricense 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 CDC Montalegre 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
9 Rebordosa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
10 Brito 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
11 Ponte da Barca 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
12 Maria de Fonte 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
13 Maia Lidador 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Vinhais 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)