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Ponte Preta U20 vs Guarani U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Ponte Preta U20 Logo

Ponte Preta U20

0 - 1
FT
Guarani U20 Logo

Guarani U20

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Michael
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Guarani U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ponte Preta U20
30%
Draws
43%
Guarani U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ponte Preta U20 haven't matched Guarani U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guarani U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Guarani U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ponte Preta U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta U20 Guarani U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 21
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.53 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs Ponte Preta U20
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Paulista U20
Ponte Preta U20 vs Guarani U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte Preta U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Guarani U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Michael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta U20 10 / 100
Guarani U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta U20 Guarani U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponte Preta U20's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Ponte Preta U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Guarani U20 let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta U20 VS Guarani U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Portuguesa U20
0 : 0
Ponte Preta U20
18 Sept
Ponte Preta U20
6 : 1
Portuguesa U20
12 Sept
Ponte Preta U20
1 : 1
Itapirense U20
04 Sept
Mirassol U20
2 : 3
Ponte Preta U20
21 Aug
Ponte Preta U20
1 : 3
Sertaozinho U20
Page 1 of 6

Guarani U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Guarani U20
4 : 1
Uniao Suzano U20
18 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 1
Guarani U20
12 Sept
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 5
Guarani U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Palmeiras U20 4
Sertaozinho U20 0
Portuguesa U20 1
Referencia U20 2
Bragantino U20 9
Itapirense U20 2
Novorizontino U20 1
Botafogo SP U20 5
EC Sao Bernardo U20 2
Internacional de Limeira U20 1
Uniao Suzano U20 5
XV de Jau U20 4
Santos U20 5
Portuguesa Santista U20 1
Corinthians U20 4
Piracicaba U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 4
Maua FC U20 2
Santo Andre U20 3
Osasco Sporting U20 6
Ibrachina U20 10
Osasco Audax U20 0
Ferroviaria U20 6
Mirassol U20 4
Guarani U20 3
Desportivo U20 0
CA Juventus U20 0
Gremio Prudente U20 3
Ituano U20 4
Sao Caetano U20 0
Ponte Preta U20 1
Capivariano U20 0
1/8-finals
Palmeiras U20 5
Referencia U20 0
Bragantino U20 1
Botafogo SP U20 4
EC Sao Bernardo U20 3
Uniao Suzano U20 2
Santos U20 3
Corinthians U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 4
Osasco Sporting U20 2
Ibrachina U20 0
Ferroviaria U20 1
Guarani U20 5
Gremio Prudente U20 2
Ituano U20 2
Ponte Preta U20 3
Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U20 4
Botafogo SP U20 1
EC Sao Bernardo U20 1
Santos U20 7
Sao Paulo U20 2
Ferroviaria U20 0
Guarani U20 3
Ponte Preta U20 0
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U20 4
Santos U20 5
Sao Paulo U20 4
Guarani U20 1
Final
Santos U20 5
Sao Paulo U20 4