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Ponte Preta U20 vs Santos U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ponte Preta U20 play Santos U20 in the Paulista U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ponte Preta U20 averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Santos U20 averaged 1.92 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. In past meetings, Ponte Preta U20 won 1, Santos U20 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Ponte Preta U20 and 1.34 for Santos U20. This points to a Santos U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ponte Preta U20
18%
Draws
44%
Santos U20
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Santos U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ponte Preta U20 picked up more points recently compared to Santos U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.34 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Ponte Preta U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Santos U20 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta U20 Santos U20
Matches Played 36 51
Wins 20 32
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.92
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.80 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Paulista U20
Ponte Preta U20 vs Santos U20
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Paulista U20
Santos U20 vs Ponte Preta U20
2:1
Jan 11, 2020 Copinha
Santos U20 vs Ponte Preta U20
1:2
Oct 16, 2019 Brasileiro U20
Santos U20 vs Ponte Preta U20
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta U20 38 / 100
Santos U20 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta U20 Santos U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santos U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ponte Preta U20 attacking → ← attacking Santos U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponte Preta U20 scored in 75% of their last 36 games.

Santos U20 let in goals in 61% of their last 51 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Ponte Preta U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santos U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 105
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.80 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ferroviaria U2043108:110
2CA Juventus U20430112:49
3Santos U2042204:08
4Portuguesa U2042117:47
5Corinthians U2032103:07
6Ponte Preta U2042115:47
7Jabaquara U2042023:36
8Portuguesa Santista U2042028:106
9Sao Bento U2041124:44
10Sertaozinho U2031111:34
11Uniao Suzano U2031022:53
12Itapirense U2041035:93
13Mirassol U2030031:60
14America SP U2040040:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ibrachina U20440014:212
2Osasco Sporting U2044009:512
3Desportivo U2054016:312
4Sao Paulo U2043107:010
5Uniao Sao Joao U2051314:36
6Paulinense U2051225:75
7EC Sao Bernardo U2041214:65
8Aguai U2051225:105
9Santo Andre U2051136:74
10Bandeirante U2051133:84
11Piracicaba U2050414:64
12Sao Caetano U2051045:103
13Botafogo SP U2040314:53
14Velo Clube U2040312:33
15Novorizontino U2040223:62
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2033008:09
2Bragantino U2033008:39
3Guarani U2043017:49
4Agua Santa U20522110:68
5Gremio Prudente U2042115:57
6XV de Jau U2052124:67
7Sfera U2052039:66
8Flamengo SP U2052035:76
9Ituano U2041306:56
10Capivariano U2051315:66
11Tanabi U2051227:85
12Osasco Audax U2051223:55
13Maua FC U2051223:95
14Referencia U2040133:71
15Porto Football U2040130:61