Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ponte Preta vs Goias

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Leopoldino C.
Assist: Cadu
23'
Palacios S.
24'
Ramon Menezes

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ponte Preta and Goias finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ponte Preta
15%
Draws
85%
Goias
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ponte Preta haven't matched Goias's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Goias taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 17%
Goias Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta Goias
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 2 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.57 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Goias
1:2
Aug 16, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Goias
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Serie B
Goias vs Ponte Preta
3:0
Nov 3, 2021 Serie B
Goias vs Ponte Preta
2:2
Jul 23, 2021 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Goias
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte Preta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Goias Compare

Top Goalscorer Leopoldino C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta 23 / 100
Goias 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta Goias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goias has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Goias's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ponte Preta scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta VS Goias
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta

(Home)
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Avai
19 Aug
Vila Nova FC
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
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Goias

(Away)
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Goias
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Fortaleza
28 Aug
Goias
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Goias
19 Aug
Goias
0 : 1
EC Juventude
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 28 14 8 6 48:25 50
2 EC Juventude 28 14 8 6 30:17 50
3 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
4 Vila Nova FC 27 14 5 8 39:30 47
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 28 12 10 6 36:26 46
7 Operario-PR 27 12 7 8 36:33 43
8 CRB 27 12 6 9 40:39 42
9 Sport Recife 27 10 11 6 36:26 41
10 Athletic Club 28 10 10 8 33:30 40
11 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
12 Nautico 27 10 7 10 32:30 37
13 Goias 27 10 6 11 25:33 36
14 Sao Bernardo 27 9 8 10 37:31 35
15 Ceara 28 8 8 12 29:36 32
16 Botafogo SP 27 8 7 12 30:32 31
17 Avai 27 8 5 14 28:35 29
18 Londrina 27 6 7 14 32:39 25
19 America MG 27 4 5 18 21:46 17
20 Ponte Preta 27 2 4 21 16:56 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)