Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ponte Preta vs Goias

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Leopoldino C.
Assist: Cadu
23'
Palacios S.
24'
Ramon Menezes

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ponte Preta and Goias finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ponte Preta
6%
Draws
90%
Goias
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Goias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ponte Preta haven't matched Goias's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Goias taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 14%
Goias Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta Goias
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Goias
1:2
Aug 16, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Goias
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Serie B
Goias vs Ponte Preta
3:0
Nov 3, 2021 Serie B
Goias vs Ponte Preta
2:2
Jul 23, 2021 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Goias
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte Preta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Goias Compare

Top Goalscorer Leopoldino C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta 10 / 100
Goias 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta Goias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goias has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ponte Preta's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Goias lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta VS Goias
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta

(Home)
18 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Goias
08 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Criciuma
03 Jul
Fortaleza
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
28 Jun
Atletico GO
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
22 Jun
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Novorizontino
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Goias

(Away)
18 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Goias
12 Jul
CRB
2 : 2
Goias
04 Jul
Goias
2 : 0
Ceara
28 Jun
Nautico
0 : 1
Goias
21 Jun
Goias
0 : 3
Operario-PR
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2EC Juventude1895419:832
3Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
4Operario-PR1794422:1831
5Fortaleza1894521:1731
6Novorizontino1886428:1730
7Sao Bernardo1876524:1727
8Sport Recife1768321:1526
9Goias1774618:2325
10Atletico GO1766519:1924
11Cuiaba1859414:1324
12CRB1865728:3223
13Athletic Club1758416:1623
14Nautico1863922:2321
15Botafogo SP1856720:1821
16Londrina1855825:2520
17Ceara1847716:2119
18Avai1845919:2517
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG18151212:298
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)