Sport Picks
Ponte San Pietro vs Caldiero Terme
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 
Match Events
66'
66'
Turano L.
AI Match Summary
Caldiero Terme in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caldiero Terme.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caldiero Terme
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Caldiero Terme lately — more wins on the board than Ponte San Pietro.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 17%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponte San Pietro | Caldiero Terme |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 14 |
| Losses | 20 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Caldiero Terme
0:1
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Ponte San Pietro
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponte San Pietro Compare
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Caldiero Terme Compare
Top Goalscorer Turano L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponte San Pietro 31 / 100
Caldiero Terme 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponte San Pietro Caldiero Terme
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caldiero Terme let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.
Attacking prowess: Ponte San Pietro scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 0.50 goals.
Ponte San Pietro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Caldiero Terme
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponte San Pietro
(Home) 05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3 Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3 Villa Valle
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Brusaporto
28 Mar
Ponte San Pietro
1 : 0 Clivense
10 Mar
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Caldiero Terme
25 Feb
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 0 Crema
Page 1 of 3
Caldiero Terme
(Away) 27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0 Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6 Caldiero Terme
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caldiero Terme | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 55:32 | 77 |
| 2 | Piacenza | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 69:35 | 74 |
| 3 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 49:26 | 73 |
| 4 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:28 | 69 |
| 5 | Varesina | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 73:49 | 68 |
| 6 | Arconatese | 38 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 58:38 | 68 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 55:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Clivense | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 10 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 11 | USD Casatese | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 53:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Caravaggio | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:51 | 46 |
| 13 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:44 | 45 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:47 | 44 |
| 16 | Legnano | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34:50 | 42 |
| 17 | Castellanzese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:51 | 39 |
| 18 | Crema | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 25:48 | 36 |
| 19 | Tritium | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31:63 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)
