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Ponte San Pietro vs Clivense

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Gningue M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Ponte San Pietro and Clivense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ponte San Pietro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ponte San Pietro
15%
Draws
65%
Clivense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Clivense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Clivense come out ahead of Ponte San Pietro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ponte San Pietro's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 19%
Clivense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte San Pietro Clivense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.7 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Clivense
1:0
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Clivense vs Ponte San Pietro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte San Pietro Compare

Top Goalscorer Gningue M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Clivense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte San Pietro 36 / 100
Clivense 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte San Pietro Clivense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clivense has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ponte San Pietro found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Ponte San Pietro remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ponte San Pietro VS Clivense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte San Pietro

(Home)
05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0
Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3
Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1
Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5
Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 6

Clivense

(Away)
05 May
Arconatese
4 : 0
Clivense
28 Apr
Clivense
2 : 1
Castellanzese
21 Apr
Clivense
2 : 0
Brusaporto
14 Apr
Piacenza
0 : 0
Clivense
07 Apr
Clivense
1 : 0
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)