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Ponte San Pietro vs Inveruno Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2019/2020
Wed, Apr 1, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ponte San Pietro host Inveruno in the Serie D - Group B 2019/2020. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Ponte San Pietro have averaged 0.74 scored and 1.58 conceded recently, against Inveruno's 0.95 scored and 2.11 conceded. Past meetings favor Ponte San Pietro slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.92 - 1.38) back Ponte San Pietro to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ponte San Pietro
15%
Draws
49%
Inveruno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inveruno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Inveruno haven't matched Ponte San Pietro's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 17%
Inveruno Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte San Pietro Inveruno
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 5 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.74 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Inveruno
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Inveruno vs Ponte San Pietro
0:2
Feb 10, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Inveruno
4:3
Oct 11, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Inveruno vs Ponte San Pietro
2:2
Feb 22, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Inveruno vs Ponte San Pietro
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte San Pietro 31 / 100
Inveruno 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte San Pietro Inveruno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inveruno has conceded goals in 100% of their last 19 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Inveruno has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ponte San Pietro scored in 35% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Ponte San Pietro VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte San Pietro

(Home)
05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0
Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3
Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1
Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5
Ponte San Pietro
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Inveruno

(Away)
16 Feb
Inveruno
1 : 2
Bustese Milano City
09 Feb
NibionnOggiono
1 : 1
Inveruno
02 Feb
Inveruno
2 : 1
Folgore Caratese
26 Jan
Levico Terme
1 : 0
Inveruno
19 Jan
Inveruno
0 : 3
Legnano
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