Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ponte San Pietro vs Rezzato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rezzato in this Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rezzato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ponte San Pietro
15%
Draws
57%
Rezzato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rezzato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rezzato lately — more wins on the board than Ponte San Pietro.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rezzato have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 17%
Rezzato Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte San Pietro Rezzato
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.69 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Rezzato
1:2
Nov 25, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Rezzato vs Ponte San Pietro
2:0
Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Rezzato vs Ponte San Pietro
2:1
Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Rezzato
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte San Pietro 36 / 100
Rezzato 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte San Pietro Rezzato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rezzato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rezzato conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Rezzato's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ponte San Pietro found the back of the net in 34% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Ponte San Pietro VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte San Pietro

(Home)
05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0
Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3
Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1
Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5
Ponte San Pietro
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Rezzato

(Away)
12 May
Pro Sesto
4 : 2
Rezzato
05 May
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Rezzato
28 Apr
Rezzato
2 : 0
Caravaggio
18 Apr
Rezzato
3 : 4
Pro Sesto
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)