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Ponte San Pietro vs Rezzato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ponte San Pietro play Rezzato in the Serie D - Group B 2018/2019. Rezzato are favorites here. Recently, Ponte San Pietro averaged 0.69 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Rezzato averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Ponte San Pietro won 0, Rezzato won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 31, 2019 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Ponte San Pietro and 1.38 for Rezzato. This points to a Rezzato double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ponte San Pietro
15%
Draws
69%
Rezzato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rezzato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ponte San Pietro picked up more points recently compared to Rezzato.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 17%
Rezzato Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte San Pietro Rezzato
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.69 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Rezzato
1:2
Nov 25, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Rezzato vs Ponte San Pietro
2:0
Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Rezzato vs Ponte San Pietro
2:1
Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Rezzato
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte San Pietro 18 / 100
Rezzato 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte San Pietro Rezzato

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rezzato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Rezzato & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ponte San Pietro attacking → ← attacking Rezzato

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponte San Pietro scored in 34% of their last 32 games.

Rezzato let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ponte San Pietro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Rezzato lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 55
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Como34285168:1889
2Mantova34265373:2783
3Pro Sesto34216761:4269
4Rezzato34205953:3665
5Caronnese34178957:4159
6Ciserano-Bergamo3411121134:4145
7Sondrio3411111238:3944
8Seregno Calcio3411101337:4243
9Villa Valle3410111335:3541
10Caravaggio3410101445:5340
11Ponte San Pietro341171651:5240
12Scanzorosciate349121335:3739
13Legnago Salus341081638:5738
14Darfo Boario348111526:4635
15Ambrosiana34961945:6233
16Villafranca346131536:4431
17Ciserano34682042:6826
18Olginatese343102126:6019