Sport Picks
Match Events
35'
35'
Vitali G.
70'
70'
Gningue M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Ponte San Pietro and Tritium finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ponte San Pietro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ponte San Pietro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ponte San Pietro come out ahead of Tritium on wins alone.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Ponte San Pietro taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 68%
Tritium Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponte San Pietro | Tritium |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.74 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Tritium
2:0
Sep 20, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Ponte San Pietro
3:2
Feb 24, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Ponte San Pietro
2:2
Oct 4, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Tritium
0:1
Feb 2, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Tritium
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponte San Pietro Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitali G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gningue M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.34
Avg xA / game 0.87
Tritium Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponte San Pietro 68 / 100
Tritium 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponte San Pietro Tritium
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ponte San Pietro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tritium let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Away concern: Tritium has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Ponte San Pietro scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ponte San Pietro VS Tritium
1.6 Goals Scored 1
2.2 Goals Conceded 1.88
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponte San Pietro
(Home) 05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3 Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3 Villa Valle
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Brusaporto
28 Mar
Ponte San Pietro
1 : 0 Clivense
10 Mar
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Caldiero Terme
25 Feb
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 0 Crema
Page 1 of 3
Tritium
(Away) 03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0 Tritium
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2 Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Pavonese
3 : 2 Tritium
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1 Tritium
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0 Tritium
20 Sept
Pavonese
3 : 2 Tritium
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1 Tritium
28 Apr
Club Milano
1 : 1 Tritium
14 Apr
Caravaggio
3 : 2 Tritium
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caldiero Terme | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 55:32 | 77 |
| 2 | Piacenza | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 69:35 | 74 |
| 3 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 49:26 | 73 |
| 4 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:28 | 69 |
| 5 | Varesina | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 73:49 | 68 |
| 6 | Arconatese | 38 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 58:38 | 68 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 55:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Clivense | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 10 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 11 | USD Casatese | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 53:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Caravaggio | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:51 | 46 |
| 13 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:44 | 45 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:47 | 44 |
| 16 | Legnano | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34:50 | 42 |
| 17 | Castellanzese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:51 | 39 |
| 18 | Crema | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 25:48 | 36 |
| 19 | Tritium | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31:63 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)
