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Pontejos vs Barreda Balompie

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 game between Pontejos and Barreda Balompie finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barreda Balompie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pontejos
15%
Draws
34%
Barreda Balompie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontejos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Barreda Balompie carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pontejos a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Barreda Balompie have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pontejos Clean Sheet 16%
Barreda Balompie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontejos Barreda Balompie
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 11
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Pontejos
4:2
Jan 8, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Barreda Balompie
1:2
Apr 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Barreda Balompie
0:1
Dec 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Pontejos
1:2
Mar 3, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Pontejos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontejos 41 / 100
Barreda Balompie 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontejos Barreda Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Pontejos's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Barreda Balompie has conceded goals in 78% of their last 41 outings.

Barreda Balompie lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barreda Balompie
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontejos

(Home)
11 May
Barreda Balompie
4 : 2
Pontejos
04 May
Pontejos
3 : 0
Guarnizo
26 Apr
Ribamontan al Mar
1 : 2
Pontejos
20 Apr
Pontejos
0 : 1
Gama
17 Apr
Castro
4 : 0
Pontejos
Page 1 of 6

Barreda Balompie

(Away)
10 May
Castro
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
04 May
Barreda Balompie
1 : 0
CD Siete Villas
26 Apr
Atletico Albericia
2 : 1
Barreda Balompie
17 Apr
Barreda Balompie
0 : 1
Guarnizo
12 Apr
Vimenor
5 : 4
Barreda Balompie
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 38 25 8 5 87:32 83
2 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 25 8 5 76:27 83
3 Cayon CD 38 20 13 5 50:22 73
4 CD Laredo 38 18 14 6 54:30 68
5 Castro 38 20 8 10 52:33 68
6 Vimenor 38 17 10 11 53:43 61
7 Barreda Balompie 38 17 9 12 50:44 60
8 Santona 38 16 10 12 53:51 58
9 CD Siete Villas 38 15 8 15 48:49 53
10 Guarnizo 38 13 13 12 45:41 52
11 UM Escobedo 38 14 9 15 67:54 51
12 Gama 38 15 5 18 35:42 50
13 Bezana 38 11 14 13 42:47 47
14 Atletico Albericia 38 12 11 15 50:51 47
15 Pontejos 38 13 8 17 45:55 47
16 Ribamontan al Mar 38 11 12 15 42:51 45
17 Deportiva Santillana 38 9 9 20 43:65 36
18 Textil Escudo 38 8 6 24 35:69 30
19 Escuela Meruelo 38 5 7 26 33:85 22
20 San Martin Arena 38 2 6 30 16:85 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)