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Pontejos vs Buelna

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buelna in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buelna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Pontejos
15%
Draws
42%
Buelna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontejos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Pontejos have won more games recently than Buelna.
  • Pontejos are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pontejos Clean Sheet 20%
Buelna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontejos Buelna
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.17 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Buelna
0:2
Oct 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Pontejos
2:1
Apr 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Pontejos
1:1
Oct 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Buelna
5:1
Feb 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Buelna
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontejos 67 / 100
Buelna 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontejos Buelna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontejos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Buelna conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Pontejos scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Buelna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Buelna
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontejos

(Home)
11 May
Barreda Balompie
4 : 2
Pontejos
04 May
Pontejos
3 : 0
Guarnizo
26 Apr
Ribamontan al Mar
1 : 2
Pontejos
20 Apr
Pontejos
0 : 1
Gama
17 Apr
Castro
4 : 0
Pontejos
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Buelna

(Away)
17 May
Buelna
2 : 1
CD Colindres
10 May
Cayon CD
6 : 1
Buelna
03 May
Buelna
0 : 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
29 Apr
Castro
1 : 3
Buelna
26 Apr
Buelna
0 : 2
Bezana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)