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Pontellas vs Agrupacion Estudiantil

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Agrupacion Estudiantil in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agrupacion Estudiantil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pontellas
30%
Draws
34%
Agrupacion Estudiantil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pontellas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Agrupacion Estudiantil have won more games recently than Pontellas.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Pontellas taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pontellas Clean Sheet 16%
Agrupacion Estudiantil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontellas Agrupacion Estudiantil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Agrupacion Estudiantil
1:2
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Agrupacion Estudiantil vs Pontellas
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontellas 36 / 100
Agrupacion Estudiantil 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontellas Agrupacion Estudiantil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agrupacion Estudiantil let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Pontellas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Agrupacion Estudiantil registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontellas VS Agrupacion Estudiantil
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%