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Pontellas vs Arzua

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between Pontellas and Arzua finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Pontellas
20%
Draws
30%
Arzua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pontellas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Arzua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Pontellas taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pontellas Clean Sheet 20%
Arzua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontellas Arzua
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 23
Goals Scored 0.77 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Arzua
0:1
Apr 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Pontellas
1:0
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Arzua
2:2
Oct 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Pontellas
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontellas 67 / 100
Arzua 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontellas Arzua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontellas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 39 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Pontellas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Arzua registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arzua
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontellas

(Home)
19 Jun
Viveiro
1 : 1
Pontellas
13 Jun
Pontellas
1 : 2
Agrupacion Estudiantil
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Pontellas
2 : 1
Fisterra
23 May
Paiosaco
2 : 1
Pontellas
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Arzua

(Away)
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
11 May
Arzua
1 : 0
Silva SD
05 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
01 May
Arzua
1 : 2
Lugo B
27 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 0
Arzua
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