Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pontellas vs Barco

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between Pontellas and Barco finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pontellas
20%
Draws
44%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barco come out ahead of Pontellas on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pontellas Clean Sheet 17%
Barco Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontellas Barco
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 4 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.77 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Barco
1:1
Nov 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Pontellas
2:0
May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Barco
0:0
Feb 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Pontellas
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontellas 30 / 100
Barco 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontellas Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontellas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Pontellas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Barco has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Pontellas scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barco
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontellas

(Home)
19 Jun
Viveiro
1 : 1
Pontellas
13 Jun
Pontellas
1 : 2
Agrupacion Estudiantil
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Pontellas
2 : 1
Fisterra
23 May
Paiosaco
2 : 1
Pontellas
Page 1 of 6

Barco

(Away)
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 22 14 6 2 37:16 48
2 Lugo B 22 12 6 4 34:17 42
3 Somozas 22 12 5 5 41:21 41
4 Racing Club Villalbes 22 12 4 6 34:26 40
5 Deportivo Fabril 22 9 5 8 41:27 32
6 Silva SD 22 7 9 6 21:20 30
7 Arzua 22 7 8 7 32:23 29
8 Viveiro 22 8 4 10 25:39 28
9 Agrupacion Estudiantil 22 4 8 10 27:45 20
10 CD AS Pontes 22 4 7 11 18:40 19
11 Fisterra 22 4 5 13 22:35 17
12 Paiosaco 22 1 9 12 16:39 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arenteiro 22 13 8 1 33:13 47
2 Arosa SC 22 11 8 3 27:14 41
3 Alondras 22 9 10 3 31:15 37
4 Estradense 22 8 7 7 35:34 31
5 CD Choco 22 8 7 7 28:22 31
6 Rapido de Bouzas 22 8 7 7 25:25 31
7 Barco 22 8 6 8 26:27 30
8 Ourense CF 22 8 4 10 33:29 28
9 Ribadumia 22 7 5 10 24:36 26
10 UD Ourense 22 7 4 11 25:32 25
11 Atios 22 4 8 10 18:32 20
12 Pontellas 22 1 6 15 12:38 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)