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Pontellas vs Paiosaco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pontellas in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pontellas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pontellas
30%
Draws
47%
Paiosaco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paiosaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pontellas haven't matched Paiosaco's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pontellas a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pontellas Clean Sheet 20%
Paiosaco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontellas Paiosaco
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.77 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Pontellas
2:1
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Paiosaco
3:1
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Pontellas
0:0
Oct 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Paiosaco
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontellas 36 / 100
Paiosaco 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontellas Paiosaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paiosaco let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Pontellas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pontellas found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Paiosaco
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontellas

(Home)
19 Jun
Viveiro
1 : 1
Pontellas
13 Jun
Pontellas
1 : 2
Agrupacion Estudiantil
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Pontellas
2 : 1
Fisterra
23 May
Paiosaco
2 : 1
Pontellas
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Paiosaco

(Away)
12 May
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Lugo B
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0
Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0
Paiosaco
27 Apr
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2
Paiosaco
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