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Pontet vs Martigues

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CFA - Group D 2016/2017
Pontet Logo

Pontet

0 - 1
FT
Martigues Logo

Martigues

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2016/2017 game between Pontet and Martigues finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Martigues.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pontet
20%
Draws
50%
Martigues
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Martigues

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Martigues come out ahead of Pontet on wins alone.
  • Pontet are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Pontet Clean Sheet 20%
Martigues Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontet Martigues
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 16
Draws 9 3
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Pontet vs Martigues
0:1
Oct 29, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Martigues vs Pontet
0:1
Feb 20, 2016 National 1 - Group C
Martigues vs Pontet
1:3
Sep 12, 2015 National 1 - Group C
Pontet vs Martigues
3:1
Jan 31, 2015 National 1 - Group C
Martigues vs Pontet
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontet 42 / 100
Martigues 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontet Martigues

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontet scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Martigues's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pontet stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Martigues
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontet

(Home)
20 May
Pontet
2 : 4
Marignane GCB
13 May
Montpellier II
2 : 1
Pontet
29 Apr
Pontet
0 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Apr
Pontet
2 : 0
Stade Montois
15 Apr
Rodez
1 : 0
Pontet
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Martigues

(Away)
26 Jul
Martigues
1 : 1
AC Ajaccio
10 May
Lorient
5 : 1
Martigues
02 May
Martigues
1 : 1
Paris FC
25 Apr
Guingamp
2 : 1
Martigues
18 Apr
Caen
0 : 3
Martigues
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodez 30 18 7 5 43:27 61
2 Stade Montois 30 14 9 7 46:28 51
3 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 15 6 9 46:31 51
4 Toulon 30 12 8 10 42:33 44
5 Colomiers 30 11 10 9 35:37 43
6 Hyeres 30 10 13 7 32:22 43
7 Monaco II 30 12 6 12 54:48 42
8 Marignane GCB 30 10 10 10 47:45 40
9 Tarbes 30 9 12 9 32:32 39
10 Marseille II 30 10 8 12 30:32 38
11 Martigues 30 10 8 12 33:40 38
12 Nice II 30 8 11 11 37:50 35
13 Sete 30 8 11 11 26:28 35
14 Pezenas 30 8 9 13 34:45 33
15 Montpellier II 30 8 7 15 26:45 31
16 Pontet 30 5 9 16 25:45 24
Promotion - National 2017/2018 (Main)