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Pontevedra B vs Gran Pena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Carril R.
42' Event
Martinez M.
90' Event
Iglesias F.

AI Match Summary

Gran Pena in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gran Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pontevedra B
20%
Draws
40%
Gran Pena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gran Pena have won more games recently than Pontevedra B.
  • Model gives Gran Pena a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pontevedra B Clean Sheet 19%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontevedra B Gran Pena
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Gran Pena
1:2
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Pontevedra B
4:2
Sep 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Gran Pena
0:2
Jan 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Pontevedra B
1:2
Aug 31, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Gran Pena
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontevedra B Compare

Top Goalscorer Iglesias F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Gran Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Carril R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontevedra B 10 / 100
Gran Pena 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontevedra B Gran Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gran Pena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gran Pena conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Pontevedra B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pontevedra B scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontevedra B VS Gran Pena
1.8 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
60% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontevedra B

(Home)
27 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
12 May
Somozas
4 : 0
Pontevedra B
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Gran Pena

(Away)
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Gran Pena
0 : 0
Antela
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Sarriana 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Alondras 4 3 0 1 10:8 9
4 Racing Club Villalbes 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 Pontevedra B 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
6 Portonovo SD 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
7 Barco 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 Lalin 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
9 Antela 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
10 Atletico Arteixo 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
11 Celtiga 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
12 Gran Pena 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
13 Estradense 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
14 Silva SD 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Arenteiro 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
16 Viveiro 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
17 Somozas 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
18 Montaneros 4 0 0 4 6:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)