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Pontevedra B vs Portonovo SD Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 game between Pontevedra B and Portonovo SD finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontevedra B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pontevedra B
20%
Draws
40%
Portonovo SD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pontevedra B come out ahead of Portonovo SD on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pontevedra B's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Pontevedra B Clean Sheet 15%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontevedra B Portonovo SD
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 4
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Pontevedra B
0:0
Oct 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Portonovo SD
0:2
May 10, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Portonovo SD
1:0
Jan 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Pontevedra B
1:1
Jan 13, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Pontevedra B
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontevedra B 39 / 100
Portonovo SD 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontevedra B Portonovo SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontevedra B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Portonovo SD conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Pontevedra B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Pontevedra B scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pontevedra B VS Portonovo SD
0.88 Goals Scored 1.17
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontevedra B

(Home)
27 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
12 May
Somozas
4 : 0
Pontevedra B
Page 1 of 6

Portonovo SD

(Away)
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Compostela 38 25 10 3 70:26 85
2 Montaneros 38 22 10 6 68:41 76
3 CD Ourense 38 22 5 11 74:40 71
4 Cerceda 38 19 7 12 66:47 64
5 Naron 38 16 10 12 67:55 58
6 Lalin 38 13 14 11 36:37 53
7 Coruxo FC 38 14 11 13 48:39 53
8 Santa Comba 38 12 14 12 42:47 50
9 SD Negreira 38 14 8 16 42:52 50
10 Alondras 38 12 14 12 48:45 50
11 Somozas 38 12 10 16 46:59 46
12 Celtiga 38 11 12 15 34:46 45
13 SD Ordenes 38 10 15 13 36:35 45
14 Verin CF 38 11 12 15 45:58 45
15 Rapido de Bouzas 38 11 11 16 38:54 44
16 Villalonga 38 11 11 16 49:53 44
17 Pontevedra B 38 11 10 17 36:48 43
18 Portonovo SD 38 8 15 15 36:51 39
19 Arosa SC 38 8 11 19 61:83 35
20 Gran Pena 38 8 10 20 29:55 34
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)