Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024

Rapido de Bouzas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pontevedra B play Rapido de Bouzas in the Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pontevedra B averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2 conceded. Rapido de Bouzas averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Pontevedra B won 0, Rapido de Bouzas won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 11, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Pontevedra B and 1.63 for Rapido de Bouzas. This points to a Rapido de Bouzas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Pontevedra B

23%

Draws

47%

Rapido de Bouzas

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Rapido de Bouzas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Pontevedra B picked up more points recently compared to Rapido de Bouzas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Pontevedra B Clean Sheet 14%

Rapido de Bouzas Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pontevedra B	Rapido de Bouzas
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	10
Draws	3	7
Losses	20	13
Goals Scored	0.83	1.17
Goals Conceded	2	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Pontevedra B vs Rapido de Bouzas

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 4 - 2

0:3

Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Rapido de Bouzas vs Pontevedra B

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Rapido de Bouzas vs Pontevedra B

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 4 - 0

4:1

Sep 22, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Pontevedra B vs Rapido de Bouzas

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Feb 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Pontevedra B vs Rapido de Bouzas

Possession: 40% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontevedra B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Rapido de Bouzas Compare

Top Goalscorer Aspas A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cellerino G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontevedra B 30 / 100

Rapido de Bouzas 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pontevedra B Rapido de Bouzas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rapido de Bouzas or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pontevedra B attacking → ← attacking Rapido de Bouzas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontevedra B scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Rapido de Bouzas let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Pontevedra B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rapido de Bouzas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 37

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bergantinos	34	21	10	3	49:19	73
2	Gran Pena	34	15	16	3	48:30	61
3	Arosa SC	34	15	13	6	39:23	58
4	UD Ourense	34	15	10	9	47:34	55
5	Sarriana	34	14	8	12	43:35	50
6	Atletico Arteixo	34	11	14	9	46:39	47
7	Somozas	34	12	9	13	43:39	45
8	Estradense	34	11	12	11	31:32	45
9	Barbadas-Bentraces	34	10	14	10	33:34	44
10	Viveiro	34	12	8	14	39:42	44
11	Alondras	34	10	14	10	37:36	44
12	Silva SD	34	11	10	13	35:35	43
13	Lugo B	34	11	10	13	32:34	43
14	Betanzos CF	34	10	13	11	35:31	43
15	Rapido de Bouzas	34	11	9	14	38:40	42
16	Paiosaco	34	10	11	13	30:42	41
17	Pontevedra B	34	7	5	22	27:65	26
18	Arzua	34	4	6	24	24:66	18