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Pontevedra vs Ath Bilbao B Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Imga C.
Assist: Sarasketa L.
41' Event
Vizcay T.
Assist: Sarasketa L.
43'
Alba D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Pontevedra and Ath Bilbao B finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ath Bilbao B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Pontevedra
35%
Draws
38%
Ath Bilbao B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ath Bilbao B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Pontevedra haven't matched Ath Bilbao B's recent run of results.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 13%
Ath Bilbao B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontevedra Ath Bilbao B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ath Bilbao B
1:3
May 9, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ath Bilbao B
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Pontevedra
1:0
Mar 7, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ath Bilbao B
0:0
Oct 17, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Pontevedra
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontevedra Compare

Top Goalscorer Comparada Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ath Bilbao B Compare

Top Goalscorer Imga C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vizcay T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontevedra 35 / 100
Ath Bilbao B 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontevedra Ath Bilbao B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontevedra's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ath Bilbao B conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Pontevedra went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontevedra VS Ath Bilbao B
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontevedra

(Home)
27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1
Ponferradina
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
28 Aug
Real Aviles
0 : 1
Pontevedra
Page 1 of 6

Ath Bilbao B

(Away)
26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
29 Aug
Zamora
1 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
2 UD Logrones 5 4 1 0 13:6 13
3 Ath Bilbao B 5 3 2 0 11:5 11
4 Cacereno 5 3 2 0 6:1 11
5 Mirandes 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
6 Pontevedra 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
7 Deportivo Fabril 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Ponferradina 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
9 Leonesa 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10 Real Union 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
11 Zamora 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
12 Racing Club Ferrol 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
13 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
14 CD Coria 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
15 Barakaldo 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 CD Extremadura 5 1 0 4 2:5 3
17 AD Merida 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 5 1 0 4 7:12 3
19 UD Ourense 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
20 Arenas Getxo 5 0 1 4 3:13 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)