Sport Picks
Pontevedra vs Barakaldo
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra 
Match Events
25'
25'
Dufur U.
39'
39'
Comparada Gonzalez A.
42'
42'
de Leon J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Pontevedra and Barakaldo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontevedra.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barakaldo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Barakaldo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Pontevedra here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 15%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pontevedra | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Barakaldo
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Pontevedra
0:1
Feb 28, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Pontevedra
0:1
Oct 11, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Barakaldo
1:0
Mar 25, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Barakaldo
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pontevedra Compare
Top Goalscorer Comparada Gonzalez A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Resende J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Barakaldo Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pontevedra 31 / 100
Barakaldo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pontevedra Barakaldo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pontevedra scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Barakaldo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Pontevedra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Pontevedra VS Barakaldo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pontevedra
(Home) 19 Aug
Coruxo FC
3 : 1 Pontevedra
15 Aug
Pontevedra
2 : 1 Ourense CF
08 Aug
Estradense
0 : 5 Pontevedra
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1 Pontevedra
29 Jul
Pontevedra
2 : 1 Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Pontevedra
2 : 1 Ourense CF
29 Jul
Pontevedra
2 : 1 Deportivo Fabril
23 May
Pontevedra
2 : 2 Real Aviles
09 May
Pontevedra
4 : 0 Ath Bilbao B
25 Apr
Pontevedra
1 : 1 Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 3
Barakaldo
(Away) 14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0 Barakaldo
12 Aug
Barakaldo
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao B
01 Aug
Barakaldo
2 : 0 Mirandes
23 May
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Celta Vigo B
17 May
Real Aviles
1 : 4 Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0 Barakaldo
17 May
Real Aviles
1 : 4 Barakaldo
01 May
Tenerife
2 : 0 Barakaldo
19 Apr
Ponferradina
1 : 0 Barakaldo
04 Apr
Pontevedra
2 : 0 Barakaldo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
