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Pontevedra vs Cacereno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pontevedra host Cacereno in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Pontevedra have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Cacereno's 1.27 scored and 0.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Cacereno slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.44, favoring Cacereno. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pontevedra
30%
Draws
41%
Cacereno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cacereno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cacereno come out ahead of Pontevedra on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 16%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontevedra Cacereno
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Pontevedra
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Cacereno
1:1
Jan 17, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Cacereno
0:0
Aug 30, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Pontevedra
1:0
Apr 3, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Pontevedra
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontevedra 31 / 100
Cacereno 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontevedra Cacereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontevedra found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Cacereno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Pontevedra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Pontevedra VS Cacereno
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontevedra

(Home)
03 Oct
Racing Club Ferrol
2 : 0
Pontevedra
27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1
Ponferradina
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6

Cacereno

(Away)
04 Oct
AD Merida
2 : 0
Cacereno
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Cacereno
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)