Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pontevedra vs Celta Vigo B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Rodriguez A.
30' Event
Ballardo F.
45' Event
Marcos O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pontevedra
15%
Draws
45%
Celta Vigo B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celta Vigo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Celta Vigo B have won more games recently than Pontevedra.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 12%
Celta Vigo B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontevedra Celta Vigo B
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 10
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.59 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Celta Vigo B
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Pontevedra
1:2
Feb 5, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Pontevedra
1:0
Oct 15, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Celta Vigo B
1:1
Jan 30, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Pontevedra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontevedra Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballardo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Celta Vigo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontevedra 30 / 100
Celta Vigo B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontevedra Celta Vigo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontevedra scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Celta Vigo B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Pontevedra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontevedra VS Celta Vigo B
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontevedra

(Home)
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
28 Aug
Real Aviles
0 : 1
Pontevedra
19 Aug
Coruxo FC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
15 Aug
Pontevedra
2 : 1
Ourense CF
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Celta Vigo B

(Away)
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
24 Aug
Celta Vigo B
4 : 2
FC Andorra
15 Aug
Cadiz
0 : 0
Celta Vigo B
08 Aug
Celta Vigo B
2 : 0
UD Ourense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)