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Pontevedra vs Ponferradina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
Pontevedra Logo

Pontevedra

1 - 1
FT
Ponferradina Logo

Ponferradina

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Andujar D.
27' Event
Comparada Gonzalez A.
Assist: Elejalde I.
45'
Gonzalez A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Pontevedra
35%
Draws
40%
Ponferradina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ponferradina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Pontevedra haven't matched Ponferradina's recent run of results.
  • 25% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 68%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontevedra Ponferradina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ponferradina
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ponferradina
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Pontevedra
0:1
Mar 3, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Pontevedra
1:0
Oct 14, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ponferradina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontevedra Compare

Top Goalscorer Comparada Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ponferradina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontevedra 41 / 100
Ponferradina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontevedra Ponferradina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontevedra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontevedra's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pontevedra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ponferradina conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pontevedra VS Ponferradina
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontevedra

(Home)
03 Oct
Racing Club Ferrol
2 : 0
Pontevedra
27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1
Ponferradina
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
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Ponferradina

(Away)
04 Oct
Ponferradina
1 : 0
Mirandes
27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1
Ponferradina
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0
AD Merida
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1
Ponferradina
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Lugo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)