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Pontevedra vs Ribadeo FC

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2014/2015 Estadio Municipal de Pasarón
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pontevedra play Ribadeo FC in the Tercera Division - Group 1 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pontevedra averaged 1.37 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Ribadeo FC averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Pontevedra won 1, Ribadeo FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 25, 2015 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Pontevedra and 0.75 for Ribadeo FC. This points to a Pontevedra double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Pontevedra
35%
Draws
24%
Ribadeo FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pontevedra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Pontevedra picked up more points recently compared to Ribadeo FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 27%
Ribadeo FC Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontevedra Ribadeo FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 13 10
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ribadeo FC
3:0
Sep 7, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ribadeo FC vs Pontevedra
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontevedra 42 / 100
Ribadeo FC 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontevedra Ribadeo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pontevedra or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pontevedra attacking → ← attacking Ribadeo FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontevedra scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Ribadeo FC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Pontevedra went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ribadeo FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 28
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pontevedra38247765:2579
2Deportivo Fabril38218966:3271
3Cerceda3818101064:3764
4CD Choco381881258:3962
5Bergantinos3816111146:3159
6Ribadeo FC381771454:6458
7Ribadumia3816101256:4458
8Alondras3815111243:4156
9Racing Club Villalbes3814141049:3856
10Rapido de Bouzas3814141048:3556
11Arosa SC3814121251:4254
12Barbadas-Bentraces381581539:4053
13SD Ordenes381581547:4853
14CD AS Pontes3813131248:5052
15CD Boiro3813121351:4851
16Silva SD381391644:5848
17Xuventu Sanxenxo381252148:6541
18CD Cultural Areas38972241:6534
19Laracha38892128:6133
20Bertamirans FC38153226:1098