Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pontivy vs Chauray - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pontivy host Chauray in the National 1 - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Pontivy at 1.21 goals for, 1.59 against; Chauray at 1.14 for, 1.48 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.31 - 1.19) back Pontivy to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Pontivy
30%
Draws
0%
Chauray
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pontivy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Pontivy have won more games recently than Chauray.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Pontivy taking it.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 20%
Chauray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontivy Chauray
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.21 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontivy 49 / 100
Chauray 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontivy Chauray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontivy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Chauray has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Pontivy scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Chauray has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Pontivy has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pontivy VS Chauray
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontivy

(Home)
31 Oct
Pontivy
2 : 2
Dinan
17 Oct
Les Herbiers
0 : 0
Pontivy
03 Oct
Pontivy
0 : 1
Angouleme CFC
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
Page 1 of 6

Chauray

(Away)
31 Oct
Tarbes
2 : 1
Chauray
17 Oct
St. Colomban Locmine
3 : 1
Chauray
02 Oct
Chauray
0 : 2
Avranches
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 8 6 2 0 13:5 20
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)