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Pontivy vs Fontenay

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CFA - Group D 2014/2015
Pontivy Logo

Pontivy

1 - 0
FT
Fontenay Logo

Fontenay

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2014/2015 game between Pontivy and Fontenay finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontivy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pontivy
30%
Draws
47%
Fontenay
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fontenay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Fontenay have managed 1.1 goals a game lately — Pontivy are scoring more at 1.21.
  • Win probability leans Pontivy's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 20%
Fontenay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontivy Fontenay
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.21 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2015 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Fontenay
1:0
Nov 22, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Fontenay vs Pontivy
0:0
Apr 26, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Fontenay vs Pontivy
1:0
Dec 14, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Fontenay
4:0
Mar 16, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Fontenay vs Pontivy
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontivy 36 / 100
Fontenay 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontivy Fontenay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pontivy scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Fontenay let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pontivy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontivy VS Fontenay
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontivy

(Home)
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1
Granville
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
Page 1 of 6

Fontenay

(Away)
20 Dec
Fontenay
0 : 4
PSG
29 Nov
Fontenay
4 : 1
Chateauroux
15 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 0
Chamalieres
16 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 2
ESOF La Roche
07 Feb
Saumur Olympique
1 : 0
Fontenay
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorient II 30 15 11 4 44:29 86
2 Les Herbiers 30 17 5 8 50:26 86
3 Stade Bordelais 30 15 7 8 39:32 82
4 Concarneau 30 13 10 7 46:32 79
5 Trelissac 30 14 7 9 46:34 79
6 Pau 30 11 12 7 49:36 75
7 Vitre 30 13 6 11 45:48 75
8 Nantes II 30 11 9 10 42:42 72
9 Stade Montois 30 10 7 13 34:40 67
10 Bordeaux II 30 10 7 13 47:48 67
11 Plabennec 30 9 8 13 29:41 65
12 Tarbes 30 8 10 12 32:40 64
13 Saint-Malo 30 8 10 12 39:46 64
14 Fontenay 30 7 12 11 33:40 63
15 Pontivy 30 5 10 15 23:40 55
16 Limoges 30 4 9 17 33:57 50
Promotion - National 2015/2016 (Main)