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Pontivy vs Quimper Stade

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CFA - Group D 2009/2010
Pontivy Logo

Pontivy

1 - 1
FT
Quimper Stade Logo

Quimper Stade

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2009/2010 game between Pontivy and Quimper Stade finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pontivy
35%
Draws
37%
Quimper Stade
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Quimper Stade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pontivy come out ahead of Quimper Stade on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 13%
Quimper Stade Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontivy Quimper Stade
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.31 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Quimper Stade vs Pontivy
3:1
Nov 14, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Quimper Stade
1:1
Feb 7, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Quimper Stade vs Pontivy
2:0
Aug 23, 2008 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Quimper Stade
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontivy 31 / 100
Quimper Stade 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontivy Quimper Stade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontivy found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Quimper Stade has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Pontivy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontivy VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontivy

(Home)
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1
Granville
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
Page 1 of 7

Quimper Stade

(Away)
29 May
Orleans
0 : 2
Quimper Stade
22 May
Quimper Stade
0 : 1
Carquefou
15 May
Senart-Moissy
3 : 0
Quimper Stade
08 May
Quimper Stade
1 : 1
Romorantin
01 May
Cherbourg
2 : 0
Quimper Stade
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orleans 34 19 12 3 43:21 103
2 La Vitreenne 34 17 10 7 49:33 95
3 Le Havre II 34 15 14 5 59:39 93
4 Cherbourg 34 17 8 9 45:33 93
5 Racing Club de France 34 13 11 10 46:36 84
6 Quevilly 34 13 9 12 52:46 82
7 Viry-Chatillon 34 13 8 13 50:58 81
8 Romorantin 34 12 11 11 59:57 81
9 Ivry 34 12 10 12 40:37 80
10 Senart-Moissy 34 11 12 11 49:47 79
11 Carquefou 34 12 9 13 37:42 79
12 Auxerre II 34 12 8 14 47:44 78
13 Rennes II 34 11 9 14 33:41 76
14 Avranches 34 11 8 15 37:44 75
15 Caen II 34 9 12 13 46:45 73
16 Mantes 34 10 7 17 35:49 71
17 Quimper Stade 34 5 10 19 23:57 59
18 Pontivy 34 5 10 19 36:57 59
Promotion - National 2010/2011 (Main)