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Pontivy vs Quimper Stade

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CFA - Group D 2009/2010
Pontivy Logo

Pontivy

1 - 1
FT
Quimper Stade Logo

Quimper Stade

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2009/2010 game between Pontivy and Quimper Stade finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pontivy
15%
Draws
34%
Quimper Stade
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontivy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pontivy come out ahead of Quimper Stade on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Pontivy taking it.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 19%
Quimper Stade Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontivy Quimper Stade
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.19 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Quimper Stade vs Pontivy
3:1
Nov 14, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Quimper Stade
1:1
Feb 7, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Quimper Stade vs Pontivy
2:0
Aug 23, 2008 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Quimper Stade
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontivy 58 / 100
Quimper Stade 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontivy Quimper Stade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontivy found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Quimper Stade has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Quimper Stade lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontivy VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontivy

(Home)
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
20 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1
Bastia
29 Nov
Espoir
0 : 4
Pontivy
15 Nov
Challans
0 : 2
Pontivy
09 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1
Rouen
Page 1 of 7

Quimper Stade

(Away)
29 May
Orleans
0 : 2
Quimper Stade
22 May
Quimper Stade
0 : 1
Carquefou
15 May
Senart-Moissy
3 : 0
Quimper Stade
08 May
Quimper Stade
1 : 1
Romorantin
01 May
Cherbourg
2 : 0
Quimper Stade
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orleans 34 19 12 3 43:21 103
2 La Vitreenne 34 17 10 7 49:33 95
3 Le Havre II 34 15 14 5 59:39 93
4 Cherbourg 34 17 8 9 45:33 93
5 Racing Club de France 34 13 11 10 46:36 84
6 Quevilly 34 13 9 12 52:46 82
7 Viry-Chatillon 34 13 8 13 50:58 81
8 Romorantin 34 12 11 11 59:57 81
9 Ivry 34 12 10 12 40:37 80
10 Senart-Moissy 34 11 12 11 49:47 79
11 Carquefou 34 12 9 13 37:42 79
12 Auxerre II 34 12 8 14 47:44 78
13 Rennes II 34 11 9 14 33:41 76
14 Avranches 34 11 8 15 37:44 75
15 Caen II 34 9 12 13 46:45 73
16 Mantes 34 10 7 17 35:49 71
17 Quimper Stade 34 5 10 19 23:57 59
18 Pontivy 34 5 10 19 36:57 59
Promotion - National 2010/2011 (Main)