Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Pontyclun FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Pontyclun FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pontyclun FC haven't matched Llantwit Major's recent run of results.
- Model gives Pontyclun FC a 70% chance of winning this.
- Llantwit Major arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Pontyclun FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Pontyclun FC Clean Sheet 20%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pontyclun FC | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 36 |
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 0 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2018 FA Cup
Pontyclun FC vs Llantwit Major
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pontyclun FC 67 / 100
Llantwit Major 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pontyclun FC Llantwit Major
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Llantwit Major conceded in 72% of 36 recent games.
Away concern: Llantwit Major has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Pontyclun FC found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (14 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Llantwit Major
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pontyclun FC
(Home) 25 Oct
Blaenavon Blues
4 : 2 Pontyclun FC
20 Sept
Pontyclun FC
4 : 1 Tata Steel
16 Sept
Aberfan
2 : 1 Pontyclun FC
14 Aug
Pontyclun FC
0 : 3 Pontardawe
10 Nov
Goytre Utd
1 : 0 Pontyclun FC
Page 1 of 3
20 Sept
Pontyclun FC
4 : 1 Tata Steel
14 Aug
Pontyclun FC
0 : 3 Pontardawe
20 Oct
Pontyclun FC
3 : 1 Llantwit Major
07 Oct
Pontyclun FC
0 : 1 Pencoed
12 Sept
Pontyclun FC
7 : 2 Goytre AFC
Page 1 of 2
Llantwit Major
(Away) 18 Apr
Llantwit Major
1 : 3 Cambrian United
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2 Llantwit Major
28 Mar
Llantwit Major
1 : 4 Caerau Ely
20 Mar
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Llantwit Major
14 Mar
Llantwit Major
2 : 3 Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 8
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2 Llantwit Major
20 Mar
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Llantwit Major
10 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 3 Llantwit Major
06 Mar
Pontypridd United
0 : 4 Llantwit Major
24 Feb
Ynyshir Albions
2 : 3 Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cwmbran Town3
Afan Lido2
Pencoed1
Ton Pentre3
Cwmamman United4
Dinas Powys0
Garden Village1
Blaenrhondda2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Haverfordwest2
STM Sports1
Trefelin1
Pure Swansea2
Goytre AFC2
Radnor Valley1
Llanidloes Town1
Pontypridd United2
Flint Town2
Llanrhaeadr1
Brickfield Rangers3
Gresford4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bala-
Caernarfon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Berriew FC3
Penrhyncoch2
New Brighton Villa1
Prestatyn5
Holyhead4
Corwen2
Coedpoeth2
Ruthin Town3
Cefn Albion7
Dolgellau Athletic1
Mold Alexandra2
Bangor City4
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pontyclun FC3
Llantwit Major1
Penlan Club0
Goytre Utd1
Guilsfield2
Rhostyllen0
Llandudno Amateurs2
Nantlle Vale FC4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sully Sports3
Brecon Corinthians1
Ammanford Town0
Cwmbran Celtic3
Porthmadog3
Pwllheli0
Hawarden Rangers2
Llanfair United3
Llay Welfare2
Rhydymwyn0
Penycae FC0
Airbus UK Broughton FC4
Llangefni2
Borth United0
Llandudno Albion3
St. Asaph4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanelli-
Briton Ferry1
Caerau Ely0
Cornelly2
Treharris Athletic3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llandudno FC-
Cambrian United5
Port Talbot0
West End0
Caldicot6
Buckley3
Brymbo1
Holyhead Town3
Denbigh9
Newtown-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Caersws FC3
Holywell Town FC2
Conwy Borough1
Rhyl2
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monmouth4
Undy3
Taffs Well1
Ynysddu Welfare2
Penybont3
Panteg1
Llandrindod1
Aberbargoed Buds2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Barry Town-
1/32-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
Cwmbran Town1
Ton Pentre2
Cwmamman United2
Blaenrhondda1
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Haverfordwest4
Pure Swansea3
Goytre AFC3
Pontypridd United6
Flint Town3
Gresford2
TBD-
Bala-
Caernarfon-
TBD-
Berriew FC3
Prestatyn6
Holyhead3
Ruthin Town1
Cefn Albion1
Bangor City6
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
Pontyclun FC0
Goytre Utd1
Guilsfield4
Nantlle Vale FC3
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
TNS-
TBD-
Sully Sports1
Cwmbran Celtic3
Porthmadog4
Llanfair United1
Llay Welfare1
Airbus UK Broughton FC9
Llangefni5
St. Asaph1
TBD-
Llanelli-
Briton Ferry4
Treharris Athletic3
TBD-
Llandudno FC-
Cambrian United3
Caldicot2
Buckley1
Denbigh3
Newtown-
TBD-
Caersws FC1
Rhyl3
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
Monmouth1
Ynysddu Welfare3
Penybont2
Aberbargoed Buds0
TBD-
Barry Town-
1/16-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Ton Pentre1
Cwmamman United3
Aberystwyth4
Haverfordwest3
Pontypridd United0
Flint Town0
Bala3
Caernarfon3
Prestatyn0
Holyhead1
Bangor City4
Carmarthen Town3
Goytre Utd0
Guilsfield2
Connahs Q.4
TNS3
Cwmbran Celtic0
Porthmadog1
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Llangefni1
Llanelli0
Briton Ferry2
Llandudno FC3
Cambrian United2
Denbigh1
Newtown1
Rhyl2
Cefn Druids3
Ynysddu Welfare1
Penybont1
Barry Town4
1/8-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Aberystwyth1
Haverfordwest0
Bala4
Caernarfon2
Bangor City1
Carmarthen Town1
Connahs Q.3
TNS5
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Llangefni1
Llandudno FC3
Cambrian United3
Rhyl2
Cefn Druids2
Barry Town3
Quarter-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Bala0
Caernarfon1
Connahs Q.2
TNS8
Llandudno FC1
Cambrian United2
Barry Town3
Semi-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University0
Connahs Q.3
TNS2
Barry Town0
Final
Connahs Q.0
TNS3