Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Pencoed advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pencoed
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pencoed's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Pontyclun FC have produced (1.43).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Pencoed, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pontyclun FC Clean Sheet 10%
Pencoed Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pontyclun FC | Pencoed |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 8 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2017 FAW Welsh Cup
Pontyclun FC vs Pencoed
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pontyclun FC 34 / 100
Pencoed 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pontyclun FC Pencoed
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pencoed Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pencoed's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 8 matches.
Pencoed lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Pontyclun FC scored in 57% of their last 14 outings.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Pontyclun FC VS Pencoed
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Pontyclun FC
(Home) 25 Oct
Blaenavon Blues
4 : 2 Pontyclun FC
20 Sept
Pontyclun FC
4 : 1 Tata Steel
16 Sept
Aberfan
2 : 1 Pontyclun FC
14 Aug
Pontyclun FC
0 : 3 Pontardawe
10 Nov
Goytre Utd
1 : 0 Pontyclun FC
Page 1 of 3
20 Sept
Pontyclun FC
4 : 1 Tata Steel
14 Aug
Pontyclun FC
0 : 3 Pontardawe
20 Oct
Pontyclun FC
3 : 1 Llantwit Major
07 Oct
Pontyclun FC
0 : 1 Pencoed
12 Sept
Pontyclun FC
7 : 2 Goytre AFC
Page 1 of 2
Pencoed
(Away) 21 Sept
Goytre AFC
3 : 1 Pencoed
08 Oct
Pencoed
0 : 1 Aberystwyth
17 Sept
Pencoed
6 : 2 Brecon Corinthians
04 Sept
Pencoed
0 : 3 Llantwit Major
14 Aug
Pencoed
5 : 0 Treharris Athletic
Page 1 of 2
21 Sept
Goytre AFC
3 : 1 Pencoed
20 Oct
Ton Pentre
3 : 1 Pencoed
07 Oct
Pontyclun FC
0 : 1 Pencoed
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Penybont 1
Undy 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Monmouth 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Bow Street 0
Llanrwst United 0
Saltney Town 6
Briton Ferry 3
Goytre Utd 1
Caldicot 2
Goytre AFC 3
Ammanford Town 1
Aberdare Town 0
Taffs Well 2
Llantwit Major 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Conwy Borough 5
Bodedern 1
Carno FC 0
Gresford 4
Prestatyn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brickfield Rangers 1
Chirk AAA FC 0
Meliden 0
Ruthin Town 4
Flint Town 3
Llanfair United 0
Llanrug 0
Llay Welfare 1
Llandudno Albion 3
Rhyl 2
Llanidloes Town 1
Buckley 2
Guilsfield 4
Mold Alexandra 0
Corwen 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bridgend Street 4
Machen 3
Rhayader 1
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caersws FC -
Prestatyn Sports -
Queens Park 0
Llanrhaeadr 3
Pontypridd United 2
Cambrian United 1
Pontyclun FC 0
Pencoed 1
Aberbargoed Buds 2
Port Talbot 0
Croesyceiliog FC 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llandudno Junction 3
Gaerwen 1
Holyhead 3
Denbigh 4
STM Sports 5
Afan Lido 2
Cardiff Corries 0
Penydarren 4
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerphilly 4
Carmarthen Stars 1
Garden Village 3
Penrhyncoch 4
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berriew FC 4
Abermule 0
Lex Glyndwr XI 1
Caernarfon 5
Porthmadog 3
Penyffordd 0
Mochdre Sports 1
Penley 2
Ton Pentre 2
Cardiff Draconians 1
Abergavenny Town 1
Panteg 3
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Caerau Ely 0
Aberaeron 1
Llanelli 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Penybont 2
Monmouth 1
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Saltney Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Goytre AFC 2
Ammanford Town 2
Llantwit Major 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Conwy Borough 1
Gresford 5
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Brickfield Rangers 2
Ruthin Town 4
Flint Town 3
Llay Welfare 1
Llandudno Albion 1
Buckley 2
Guilsfield 3
Holywell Town FC 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
Bridgend Street 0
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Caersws FC 1
Llanrhaeadr 2
Pontypridd United 3
Pencoed 1
Aberbargoed Buds 0
Haverfordwest 2
Llandudno Junction 3
Denbigh 2
STM Sports 1
Penydarren 2
TNS -
TBD -
Caerphilly 2
Penrhyncoch 4
Barry Town -
TBD -
Berriew FC 1
Caernarfon 4
Porthmadog 10
Penley 0
Ton Pentre 1
Panteg 2
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Llanelli 1
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth 4
Bala 0
Penybont 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Goytre AFC 2
Ammanford Town 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Llandudno FC 4
Gresford 0
Prestatyn 0
Ruthin Town 3
Flint Town 1
Buckley 0
Guilsfield 0
Newtown 2
Bangor City 4
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids 2
Llanrhaeadr 3
Pontypridd United 3
Haverfordwest 1
Llandudno Junction 0
Penydarren 4
TNS 6
Penrhyncoch 0
Barry Town 0
Caernarfon 2
Porthmadog 7
Panteg 2
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Llandudno FC 4
Ruthin Town 3
Flint Town 2
Newtown 3
Bangor City 3
Llanrhaeadr 2
Pontypridd United 1
Penydarren 2
TNS 3
Caernarfon 1
Porthmadog 1
Connahs Q. 3
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llandudno FC 0
Newtown 2
Bangor City 7
Penydarren 0
TNS 1
Connahs Q. 2
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 2
Newtown 1
Bangor City 1
Connahs Q. 6
Final
Aberystwyth 1
Connahs Q. 4
