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Stadium Background

Pontypridd United vs Afan Lido

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Griffiths L.
(Penalty)
90'
Angel L.
90'
Angel L.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South game between Pontypridd United and Afan Lido finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afan Lido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pontypridd United
30%
Draws
23%
Afan Lido
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pontypridd United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Afan Lido haven't matched Pontypridd United's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Pontypridd United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 15%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontypridd United Afan Lido
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.77 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Afan Lido
0:1
Jan 30, 2026 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Afan Lido
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Pontypridd United
2:2
Mar 11, 2025 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Pontypridd United
2:0
Jul 26, 2024 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Afan Lido
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontypridd United 84 / 100
Afan Lido 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontypridd United Afan Lido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontypridd United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pontypridd United scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Afan Lido has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Pontypridd United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontypridd United VS Afan Lido
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontypridd United

(Home)
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2
Pontypridd United
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4
Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6

Afan Lido

(Away)
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 7 5 2 0 22:5 17
2 Aberystwyth 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
3 Pontypridd United 7 5 1 1 18:12 16
4 Carmarthen Town 8 4 2 2 19:17 14
5 Caerau Ely 8 4 1 3 19:18 13
6 Treowen 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
7 Baglan Dragons 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Afan Lido 9 3 2 4 13:15 11
9 Trethomas Bluebirds 8 2 4 2 15:14 10
10 Ynyshir Albions 7 2 4 1 7:6 10
11 Caerphilly 8 2 2 4 8:14 8
12 Newport City 6 2 1 3 9:5 7
13 Cardiff Draconians 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
14 Pontardawe 7 2 0 5 11:14 6
15 Llantwit Major 6 1 1 4 4:15 4
16 Llanelli 9 0 2 7 6:25 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)