Sport Picks
Pontypridd United vs Carmarthen Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Pontypridd United host Carmarthen Town in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Pontypridd United have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Carmarthen Town's 2.27 scored and 2.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Pontypridd United slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 1.88, favoring Pontypridd United. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pontypridd United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Pontypridd United a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pontypridd United | Carmarthen Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 2.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carmarthen Town let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Pontypridd United scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Pontypridd United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pontypridd United
(Home)Carmarthen Town
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:21 | 21 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23:19 | 16 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:21 | 11 |
| 13 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9:36 | 2 |
