Sport Picks
Pontypridd United vs Llantwit Major - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
20'
20'
Edwards E.
40'
40'
Edwards E.
49'
49'
Rowe K.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South game between Pontypridd United and Llantwit Major finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontypridd United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Llantwit Major haven't matched Pontypridd United's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Pontypridd United's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 17%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pontypridd United | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2026 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Llantwit Major
4:1
Mar 6, 2026 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Llantwit Major
0:4
Oct 11, 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd United
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd United
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Llantwit Major
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pontypridd United Compare
Top Goalscorer Edwards E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rowe K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Llantwit Major Compare
Top Goalscorer Stokes T. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pontypridd United 66 / 100
Llantwit Major 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pontypridd United Llantwit Major
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pontypridd United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Llantwit Major conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Pontypridd United scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Pontypridd United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pontypridd United VS Llantwit Major
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pontypridd United
(Home) 06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1 Llantwit Major
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3 Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1 Llantwit Major
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3 Aberystwyth
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
07 Aug
Pontypridd United
3 : 2 Pontardawe
Page 1 of 3
Llantwit Major
(Away) 06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1 Llantwit Major
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0 Llanelli
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 7
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1 Llantwit Major
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0 Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Pontardawe | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Newport City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 14 | Caerphilly | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7:27 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
