Sport Picks
Pontypridd United vs Trethomas Bluebirds
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
6'
6'
Angel L.
21'
21'
Edwards E.
85'
85'
Thomas J.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South game between Pontypridd United and Trethomas Bluebirds finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontypridd United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pontypridd United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Pontypridd United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Pontypridd United are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 15%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pontypridd United | Trethomas Bluebirds |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:1
Mar 20, 2026 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd United
4:2
Nov 28, 2025 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd United
4:0
Sep 14, 2024 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pontypridd United Compare
Top Goalscorer Angel L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Edwards E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Trethomas Bluebirds Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pontypridd United 41 / 100
Trethomas Bluebirds 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pontypridd United Trethomas Bluebirds
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trethomas Bluebirds has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Pontypridd United scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Pontypridd United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pontypridd United VS Trethomas Bluebirds
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pontypridd United
(Home) 25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
07 Aug
Pontypridd United
3 : 2 Pontardawe
18 Apr
Pontypridd United
0 : 0 Caerau Ely
27 Mar
Pontypridd United
1 : 3 Trefelin
Page 1 of 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
(Away) 26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
07 Aug
Llanelli
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
14 Jul
Barry Town
5 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 13 |
| 6 | Treowen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Baglan Dragons | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Newport City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:25 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
