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Pontypridd United W vs Barry Town W

Wales Wales

Premier Women
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Angove L.
81' Event
Lloyd M.
88' Event
Thomas B.

AI Match Summary

Barry Town W in this Premier Women matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barry Town W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pontypridd United W
6%
Draws
90%
Barry Town W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Barry Town W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pontypridd United W haven't matched Barry Town W's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Barry Town W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Barry Town W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Pontypridd United W Clean Sheet 10%
Barry Town W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontypridd United W Barry Town W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 1 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 26 16
Goals Scored 0.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 4.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier Women
Barry Town W vs Pontypridd United W
3:0
Mar 15, 2026 Premier Women
Pontypridd United W vs Barry Town W
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Premier Women
Barry Town W vs Pontypridd United W
4:1
Oct 12, 2025 Premier Women
Pontypridd United W vs Barry Town W
2:3
Mar 24, 2024 Premier Women
Pontypridd United W vs Barry Town W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontypridd United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Angove L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lloyd M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Barry Town W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Breen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontypridd United W 10 / 100
Barry Town W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontypridd United W Barry Town W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Pontypridd United W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Barry Town W let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Barry Town W's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pontypridd United W VS Barry Town W
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
4.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff City W14112153:1335
2Wrexham W14111250:2034
3Swansea W14100448:2030
4TNS W1472534:2223
5Briton Ferry W1451829:3716
6Aberystwyth W1441917:3413
7Barry Town W1441922:4713
8Pontypridd United W14001411:710