Sport Picks
Match Events
63'
63'
Obodo M.
86'
86'
Obodo M.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South game between Poole Town and Basingstoke finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basingstoke.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Basingstoke
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Poole Town come out ahead of Basingstoke on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Poole Town here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 13%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Poole Town | Basingstoke |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Basingstoke
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Poole Town
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Basingstoke
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Basingstoke
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Poole Town
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Poole Town Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Basingstoke Compare
Top Goalscorer Obodo M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Poole Town 35 / 100
Basingstoke 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Poole Town Basingstoke
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Basingstoke Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Basingstoke conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Poole Town scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Poole Town stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Poole Town VS Basingstoke
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Poole Town
(Home) 05 Sept
Bishops Cleeve
2 : 1 Poole Town
31 Aug
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0 Poole Town
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1 Yate
22 Aug
Berkhamsted Town
2 : 3 Poole Town
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1 Yate
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
11 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 1 Sholing
14 Jul
Poole Town
2 : 0 Eastleigh
18 Apr
Poole Town
2 : 0 Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 3
Basingstoke
(Away) 05 Sept
Basingstoke
0 : 0 AFC Stoneham
31 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 1 Bracknell Town
29 Aug
Taunton Town
4 : 3 Basingstoke
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Bath City
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Taunton Town
4 : 3 Basingstoke
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
11 Aug
Hanwell Town
2 : 1 Basingstoke
14 Jul
Slough Town
2 : 4 Basingstoke
25 Apr
Hanwell Town
2 : 1 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 13 |
| 4 | Frome Town | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Taunton Town | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Chichester City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 8 | Berkhamsted Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Poole Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 10 | Evesham | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 11 | Bath City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 12 | Yate | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Basingstoke | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 15 | Sholing | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 16 | Chippenham Town | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Bracknell Town | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Wimborne | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 20 | Hanwell Town | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 4 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:16 | 2 |
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
