Sport Picks
Poole Town vs Basingstoke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
63'
63'
Obodo M.
86'
86'
Obodo M.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South game between Poole Town and Basingstoke finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basingstoke.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
71%
15%
14%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poole Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Poole Town come out ahead of Basingstoke on wins alone.
- Model gives Poole Town a 71% chance of winning this.
- Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Poole Town here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 20%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Poole Town | Basingstoke |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 FA Trophy
Poole Town vs Basingstoke
1:0
Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Basingstoke
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Poole Town
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Basingstoke
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Basingstoke
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Poole Town Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Basingstoke Compare
Top Goalscorer Obodo M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Poole Town 85 / 100
Basingstoke 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Poole Town Basingstoke
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Poole Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Poole Town found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Basingstoke let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Poole Town went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Poole Town VS Basingstoke
2 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Poole Town
(Home) 17 Oct
Chippenham Town
1 : 4 Poole Town
10 Oct
Poole Town
1 : 0 Bracknell Town
07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3 Poole Town
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1 Evesham
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Poole Town
1 : 0 Bracknell Town
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1 Evesham
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1 Yate
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 3
Basingstoke
(Away) 17 Oct
Gosport Borough
4 : 0 Basingstoke
13 Oct
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 1 Basingstoke
10 Oct
Basingstoke
4 : 1 Malvern Town
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1 Basingstoke
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Gosport Borough
4 : 0 Basingstoke
13 Oct
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 1 Basingstoke
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1 Basingstoke
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 26 |
| 3 | Bath City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26:12 | 23 |
| 6 | Chichester City | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 7 | Taunton Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 32:25 | 19 |
| 8 | Chertsey Town | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Frome Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 10 | Wimborne | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Berkhamsted Town | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 13 | Bracknell Town | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Yate | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:25 | 13 |
| 15 | Evesham | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:26 | 13 |
| 16 | Sholing | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | 12 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Gloucester City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18:26 | 9 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:25 | 9 |
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
