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Poole Town vs Beaconsfield Town

England England

Southern League Premier South 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Holmes T.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Holmes T.
52' Event
Holmes T.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 game between Poole Town and Beaconsfield Town finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poole Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Poole Town
15%
Draws
34%
Beaconsfield Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poole Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Beaconsfield Town haven't matched Poole Town's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Poole Town's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 10%
Beaconsfield Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poole Town Beaconsfield Town
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.48 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Beaconsfield Town
3:0
Nov 4, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Beaconsfield Town vs Poole Town
1:3
Feb 18, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Beaconsfield Town
2:2
Oct 1, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Beaconsfield Town vs Poole Town
0:2
Dec 11, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Beaconsfield Town vs Poole Town
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poole Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Holmes T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Beaconsfield Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poole Town 83 / 100
Beaconsfield Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poole Town Beaconsfield Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poole Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Poole Town found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Beaconsfield Town conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Poole Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Poole Town VS Beaconsfield Town
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Poole Town

(Home)
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
05 Sept
Bishops Cleeve
2 : 1
Poole Town
31 Aug
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Poole Town
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1
Yate
Page 1 of 6

Beaconsfield Town

(Away)
29 Aug
Beaconsfield Town
1 : 2
Sheppey United
01 Aug
Beaconsfield Town
5 : 4
Kingstonian
06 Sept
Fareham
4 : 1
Beaconsfield Town
26 Jul
Bedfont Sports
1 : 3
Beaconsfield Town
22 Jul
Beaconsfield Town
0 : 7
St. Albans
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesham 42 28 6 8 83:46 90
2 AFC Totton 42 23 12 7 89:45 81
3 Salisbury 42 23 10 9 70:46 79
4 Gosport Borough 42 23 9 10 75:43 78
5 Bracknell Town 42 21 5 16 84:71 68
6 Merthyr Town 42 20 7 15 85:59 67
7 Walton & Hersham 42 18 11 13 78:67 65
8 Hungerford 42 18 10 14 77:70 64
9 Dorchester 42 17 9 16 66:77 60
10 Hendon 42 14 16 12 70:65 58
11 Winchester City 42 15 12 15 63:67 57
12 Basingstoke 42 15 8 19 69:83 53
13 Poole Town 42 16 4 22 70:76 52
14 Tiverton 42 14 10 18 64:74 52
15 Sholing 42 13 10 19 52:63 49
16 Swindon Supermarine 42 13 10 19 73:92 49
17 Hanwell Town 42 12 12 18 64:71 48
18 Plymouth Parkway 42 12 12 18 60:68 48
19 Beaconsfield Town 42 13 9 20 63:78 48
20 Hayes & Yeading 42 11 13 18 59:67 46
21 Harrow Borough 42 10 9 23 60:97 39
22 Didcot 42 6 10 26 45:94 28
Promotion - National League South 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 (Play Offs)