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Poole Town vs Cadbury Heath - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Poole Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Poole Town
15%
Draws
18%
Cadbury Heath
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poole Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Poole Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Poole Town taking it.
  • Poole Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Poole Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 20%
Cadbury Heath Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poole Town Cadbury Heath
Matches Played 31 9
Wins 17 3
Draws 6 1
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.71 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2011 FA Cup
Poole Town vs Cadbury Heath
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poole Town 85 / 100
Cadbury Heath 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poole Town Cadbury Heath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poole Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poole Town scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Cadbury Heath's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Poole Town went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Poole Town VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Poole Town

(Home)
07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Poole Town
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3
Poole Town
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
Page 1 of 7

Cadbury Heath

(Away)
08 Sept
Cadbury Heath
0 : 1
Cinderford Town
20 Sept
Cadbury Heath
2 : 3
Bridport
16 Sept
Bridport
2 : 2
Cadbury Heath
02 Sept
Andover Town
1 : 2
Cadbury Heath
01 Oct
Burgess Hill
6 : 1
Cadbury Heath
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mansfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fleetwood Town -
Weston-super-Mare 1
Dorchester 0
Sholing 1
Havant & Waterlooville 4
Eastleigh 3
Cinderford Town 1
Thame United 1
Oxford City 3
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford 4
Stafford 2
Quorn 2
King’s Lynn 4
Dover Ath. 3
Carshalton 0
Concord Rangers 3
Wroxham 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Basingstoke 3
Frome Town 0
Bideford 1
Hartley Wintney 2
Worthing FC 0
Beckenham Town 0
Beaconsfield Town 0
Staines 2
Stourbridge 2
Barwell 0
Eastwood 0
Evesham 3
Rushall 2
Buxton 1
Mickleover 1
Barrow Town 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Walthamstow FC 0
Merstham 0
Sudbury 2
North Greenford Utd. 2
Hythe 1
St. Albans 4
East Thurrock Utd 6
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County -
Luton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Whitehawk 1
Oxhey Jets 1
Hendon 2
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe 3
Clitheroe 1
Runcorn F.C. 0
Hebburn Town 1
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford 1
Carlton Town 0
Histon 2
Corby 4
Redbridge 1
Bury Town 0
Chesham 1
Dunstable Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Sutton 5
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Maidstone 2
Bognor Regis 3
Billericay 3
Chipstead 0
Biggleswade Town 2
Leatherhead 3
Witton Albion 2
Altrincham 0
Ashton United 0
Spennymoor 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Arlesey 6
Hampton & Richmond 2
VCD Athletic 2
Thurrock 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Nantwich 2
Northwich Victoria 1
Wakefield 1
Kendal 4
Daventry 2
Leamington 1
Needham Market 0
Nuneaton 3
Totton & Eling 2
Clevedon 1
Hungerford 4
Weymouth 6
Slough Town 3
Boreham Wood 2
Aveley 0
Hanworth Villa 1
Droylsden 2
Workington 1
Colwyn Bay 1
Stocksbridge 3
Whitby 2
North Ferriby United 1
Bedlington 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Stortford 1
Canvey Island 0
Horsham FC 4
Burnham FC 5
Poole Town 4
Cadbury Heath 0
Swindon Supermarine 0
Salisbury 3
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frickley 3
Harrogate 2
AFC Fylde 3
Gainsborough 4
Dartford 5
Harrow Borough 0
Erith Town 0
Cray Wanderers 5
Margate 6
Thamesmead 1
Welling 1
Bromley 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Boston United 0
Bridgnorth Town 0
Long Buckby 2
Hyde 0
Staveley Miners 3
Warrington Town 1
Bradford PA 3
Chelmsford 3
Tonbridge 0
Hemel Hempstead 0
Lowestoft 3
Truro 3
Bournemouth 2
Whitchurch United 0
Gloucester City 2
Solihull Moors 2
Loughborough Dynamo 0
Chasetown 1
Grantham Town 2
Lancaster 1
United of Manchester 0
Tadcaster Albion 1
Halifax 2
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leighton Town 3
Hatfield Town 0
Chertsey Town 2
Southend Manor 4
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley 2
Stalybridge 1
Vauxhall 3
Ashington 4
Godalming Town 2
Worcester 1
Yate 1
Bodmin Town 1
Woking 7
Wells City 0
Farnborough 3
Maidenhead 4
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town 2
Deeping Rangers 0
Matlock 1
Hinckley 3
Newport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Semi-finals
Mansfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Fleetwood Town -
Weston-super-Mare 3
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Eastleigh 1
Oxford City 3
Tamworth -
TBD -
Stratford 2
King’s Lynn 3
Dover Ath. 3
Wroxham 1
TBD -
Bath City -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Basingstoke 4
Hartley Wintney 0
Worthing FC 0
Staines 2
Stourbridge 5
Evesham 0
Rushall 3
Barrow Town 0
Eastbourne Borough 1
Sudbury 0
North Greenford Utd. 3
East Thurrock Utd 6
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County -
Luton -
TBD -
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Hendon 3
Gateshead -
TBD -
Radcliffe 2
Hebburn Town 4
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Hednesford 2
Corby 4
Redbridge 3
Dunstable Town 0
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Sutton 4
Bognor Regis 0
Billericay 0
Leatherhead 3
Witton Albion 3
Spennymoor 1
TBD -
Barrow -
Arlesey 4
Thurrock 1
TBD -
Forest Green -
Nantwich 2
Kendal 1
Daventry 1
Nuneaton 2
Totton & Eling 4
Weymouth 2
Slough Town 3
Hanworth Villa 5
Droylsden 4
Stocksbridge 1
Whitby 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Stortford 5
Burnham FC 2
Poole Town 1
Salisbury 6
Telford -
TBD -
Frickley 0
Gainsborough 2
Dartford 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Margate 2
Bromley 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Long Buckby 1
Hyde 0
Bradford PA 1
Chelmsford 5
Lowestoft 2
Truro 2
Gloucester City 7
Solihull Moors 3
Grantham Town 2
Lancaster 0
Halifax 3
Kettering -
TBD -
Leighton Town 0
Southend Manor 5
Grimsby -
TBD -
Guiseley 0
Ashington 1
Godalming Town 6
Bodmin Town 2
Woking 1
Maidenhead 4
Darlington FC -
TBD -
Leek Town 4
Hinckley 5
Newport -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Final
Mansfield 1
Fleetwood Town 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Oxford City 3
Tamworth 2
King’s Lynn 1
Dover Ath. 0
Bath City 1
Alfreton 3
Lincoln City 2
Basingstoke 2
Staines 1
Stourbridge 5
Rushall 0
Eastbourne Borough 1
East Thurrock Utd 2
Southport 1
Stockport County 0
Luton 5
Hendon 1
Gateshead 3
Hebburn Town 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Cambridge Utd 6
Kidderminster 1
Corby 4
Redbridge 2
Ebbsfleet 0
Wrexham 2
York City 1
Sutton 6
Leatherhead 5
Witton Albion 1
Barrow 4
Arlesey 2
Forest Green 1
Nantwich 1
Nuneaton 0
Totton & Eling 3
Hanworth Villa 2
Droylsden 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Stortford 1
Salisbury 2
Telford 5
Gainsborough 0
Dartford 1
Bromley 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Bradford PA 2
Chelmsford 2
Gloucester City 1
Solihull Moors 0
Halifax 1
Kettering 3
Southend Manor 1
Grimsby 5
Ashington 0
Godalming Town 0
Maidenhead 5
Darlington FC 1
Hinckley 4
Newport 4
Braintree 3