Sport Picks
Poole Town vs Walton Casuals
England
Southern League South Division 2021/2022 
Match Events
15'
15'
Spetch W.
AI Match Summary
Poole Town in this Southern League South Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poole Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Poole Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Poole Town have won more games recently than Walton Casuals.
- Poole Town are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Southern League South Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 20%
Walton Casuals Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Poole Town | Walton Casuals |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 26, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Walton Casuals
1:0
Nov 6, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Walton Casuals vs Poole Town
2:4
Apr 24, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Walton Casuals vs Poole Town
0:0
Nov 21, 2020 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Walton Casuals
0:0
Mar 28, 2020 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Walton Casuals
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Poole Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Spetch W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Walton Casuals Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Poole Town 40 / 100
Walton Casuals 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Poole Town Walton Casuals
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Poole Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Poole Town scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.
Defensive concern: Walton Casuals conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Poole Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Poole Town VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Poole Town
(Home) 26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1 Poole Town
05 Sept
Bishops Cleeve
2 : 1 Poole Town
31 Aug
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0 Poole Town
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1 Yate
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1 Yate
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
11 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 1 Sholing
14 Jul
Poole Town
2 : 0 Eastleigh
Page 1 of 4
Walton Casuals
(Away) 23 Apr
Walton Casuals
1 : 1 Dorchester
18 Apr
Harrow Borough
0 : 0 Walton Casuals
16 Apr
Walton Casuals
3 : 2 Tiverton
09 Apr
Truro
2 : 0 Walton Casuals
05 Apr
Walton Casuals
0 : 3 Yate
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Harrow Borough
0 : 0 Walton Casuals
09 Apr
Truro
2 : 0 Walton Casuals
26 Mar
Hartley Wintney
2 : 1 Walton Casuals
05 Mar
Hayes & Yeading
0 : 1 Walton Casuals
26 Feb
Poole Town
1 : 0 Walton Casuals
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taunton Town | 42 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 83:42 | 91 |
| 2 | Hayes & Yeading | 42 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 100:39 | 86 |
| 3 | Farnborough | 42 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 73:44 | 85 |
| 4 | Metropolitan Police | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 72:46 | 81 |
| 5 | Weston-super-Mare | 42 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 72:41 | 78 |
| 6 | Chesham | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 80:50 | 77 |
| 7 | Yate | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 66:48 | 72 |
| 8 | Truro | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 62:54 | 70 |
| 9 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 65:56 | 66 |
| 10 | Poole Town | 42 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 74:69 | 64 |
| 11 | Walton Casuals | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 53:61 | 58 |
| 12 | Swindon Supermarine | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 63:63 | 57 |
| 13 | Tiverton | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 61:63 | 53 |
| 14 | Harrow Borough | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 62:77 | 52 |
| 15 | Salisbury | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 49:75 | 48 |
| 16 | Hendon | 42 | 14 | 5 | 23 | 58:70 | 47 |
| 17 | Beaconsfield Town | 42 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 70:92 | 46 |
| 18 | Hartley Wintney | 42 | 13 | 5 | 24 | 56:75 | 44 |
| 19 | Dorchester | 42 | 12 | 5 | 25 | 41:58 | 41 |
| 20 | Kings Langley | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:68 | 37 |
| 21 | Merthyr Town | 42 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 47:94 | 26 |
| 22 | Wimborne | 42 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 35:106 | 19 |
Promotion - Southern League South Division 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
