Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Promotion Group

Soimii Gura Humorului

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Popesti Leordeni play Soimii Gura Humorului in the Liga 3 - Promotion Group. It looks like a close match. Recently, Popesti Leordeni averaged 2.27 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Soimii Gura Humorului averaged 2.33 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. In past meetings, Popesti Leordeni won 1, Soimii Gura Humorului won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Popesti Leordeni and 1.69 for Soimii Gura Humorului. This points to a Popesti Leordeni double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Popesti Leordeni

19%

Draws

37%

Soimii Gura Humorului

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Popesti Leordeni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Popesti Leordeni picked up more points recently compared to Soimii Gura Humorului.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Popesti Leordeni Clean Sheet 13%

Soimii Gura Humorului Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Popesti Leordeni	Soimii Gura Humorului
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	21	21
Draws	6	5
Losses	3	4
Goals Scored	2.27	2.33
Goals Conceded	0.8	0.73
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Liga 3 - Promotion Group

Popesti Leordeni vs Soimii Gura Humorului

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Popesti Leordeni 42 / 100

Soimii Gura Humorului 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Popesti Leordeni Soimii Gura Humorului

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Popesti Leordeni or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Popesti Leordeni attacking → ← attacking Soimii Gura Humorului

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Popesti Leordeni scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Soimii Gura Humorului let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Popesti Leordeni went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Soimii Gura Humorului lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 68

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25