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Porreres vs Inter Ibiza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Martinez D.
20' Event
Exposito F.
(Penalty)
80' Event
Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Porreres and Inter Ibiza finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porreres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Porreres
15%
Draws
12%
Inter Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porreres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Porreres haven't matched Inter Ibiza's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Porreres taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Porreres Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Ibiza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porreres Inter Ibiza
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.86 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Inter Ibiza
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porreres Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Inter Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porreres 85 / 100
Inter Ibiza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porreres Inter Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porreres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Ibiza let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Inter Ibiza has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Porreres scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Porreres VS Inter Ibiza
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Porreres

(Home)
04 Oct
Porreres
0 : 1
Santanyi
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
20 Sept
Porreres
2 : 1
Inter Ibiza
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
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Inter Ibiza

(Away)
04 Oct
PE Sant Jordi
0 : 0
Inter Ibiza
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3
Llosetense
20 Sept
Porreres
2 : 1
Inter Ibiza
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2
Mercadal
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)